GPU-accelerated nested sampling on GW170817 demonstrates that switching to a uniform-in-dL prior shifts the H0 tail and median far more than post-hoc reweighting captures, due to an under-sampled (dL, iota) bimodality.
GWTC-5.0: Constraints on the Cosmic Expansion Rate and Modified Gravitational-wave Propagation
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abstract
We employ 236 gravitational-wave (GW) sources in the fifth LIGO--Virgo--KAGRA Collaboration (LVK) Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog (GWTC-5.0) to estimate the Hubble constant $H_0$. We compare the luminosity distance measured from GWs to the redshift inferred i) using features in the mass spectrum, and ii) using statistical host galaxy association. Probing the relationship between source luminosity distances and redshifts obtained in this way yields constraints on cosmological parameters. We estimate $H_0 = {71.0}_{-7.1}^{+9.0}\,{\text{km}\,\text{s}^{-1}\,\text{Mpc}^{-1}}$ (median with $68\%$ symmetric credible interval). This combines information from the source-frame mass distribution with the $H_0$ measurement from GW170817 and its electromagnetic counterpart as well as galaxy catalog information from Dark Energy Survey Year 6 (DES-Y6). We improve over the GWTC-4.0 measurement by using more GW sources, some with significantly smaller sky localization volumes, which leads to a reduction by $25.7\%$ of the $H_0$ uncertainty and a reconstructed mass distribution with lower uncertainties. We also constrain deviations from general relativity (GR) which affect GW propagation, specifically that modify the luminosity distance inferred from the GW signal. We find no departures from GR in parameterized tests of GW propagation.
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astro-ph.CO 1years
2026 1verdicts
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Rapid Hubble constant inference from GW170817 using GPU-accelerated nested sampling: prior sensitivity and the limits of post-hoc reweighting
GPU-accelerated nested sampling on GW170817 demonstrates that switching to a uniform-in-dL prior shifts the H0 tail and median far more than post-hoc reweighting captures, due to an under-sampled (dL, iota) bimodality.