A synthetic business cycle estimator separates trend from cycle, using the treated unit's own history for trend and donor cycles for the cyclical part, to counter the spurious synthetic control problem in nonstationary data.
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A Synthetic Business Cycle Approach to Counterfactual Analysis with Nonstationary Macroeconomic Data
A synthetic business cycle estimator separates trend from cycle, using the treated unit's own history for trend and donor cycles for the cyclical part, to counter the spurious synthetic control problem in nonstationary data.