Identifiability is proven for recurrent nonlinear switching dynamical systems under flexible assumptions, and ΩSDS is introduced as a flow-based estimator that improves disentanglement and forecasting over VAE-based methods.
Flow-based non-stationary temporal regime causal structure learning
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SVAR-FM uses simulator clamping to produce interventional distributions and flow matching to identify time series causal structures, with an error bound that predicts sign reversal of causal effects below a simulator accuracy threshold.
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End-to-End Identifiable and Consistent Recurrent Switching Dynamical Systems
Identifiability is proven for recurrent nonlinear switching dynamical systems under flexible assumptions, and ΩSDS is introduced as a flow-based estimator that improves disentanglement and forecasting over VAE-based methods.
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Intervention-Based Time Series Causal Discovery via Simulator-Generated Interventional Distributions
SVAR-FM uses simulator clamping to produce interventional distributions and flow matching to identify time series causal structures, with an error bound that predicts sign reversal of causal effects below a simulator accuracy threshold.