A 1000-ton neutrino detector at 500 m could measure a nuclear test's antineutrino rate to better than 4%, but the abstract's claim of thousands of events per kiloton is about ten times the paper's own estimate.
For statistics in the thousands of events and reasonable assumptions on systematic errors, we can expect a total error on the measured antineutrino flux of about 4%, or less
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Novel Application of Neutrinos to Evaluate U.S. Nuclear Weapons Performance
A 1000-ton neutrino detector at 500 m could measure a nuclear test's antineutrino rate to better than 4%, but the abstract's claim of thousands of events per kiloton is about ten times the paper's own estimate.