A five-layer, 20-signal Trust Margin metric and Exponential-smoothing prediction engine achieve 8-hour-ahead degradation forecasting for production LLM agent systems with MAE=1.228 and 76.8% direction accuracy.
Channel Fracture: Three Instances of Cross-Boundary Silent Delivery Reliability Failures in Multi-Agent Systems
2 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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abstract
We report the discovery of channel fracture, a silent architectural failure in multi-agent systems where information routed across agent boundaries is silently blocked by invisible constraints. We present three instances in a production Hermes Agent deployment: (1) cron memory injection blocked by scheduler barriers; (2) cross-profile skill routing fractured by recursive directory traversal; (3) WebSocket delivery confirmation fallback fracture causing message duplication. We propose CADVP v1.1, a 13-dimension verification protocol with a veto-level confirmation check. Through 30,012 trials, zero failure rates under protocol versus 69 to 98 percent without. Real-world validation (10,008 trials) confirms quality elevation from 0.90 to 1.00. Three design principles: inverse verification, channel matching, and PIP protection.
fields
cs.MA 2years
2026 2representative citing papers
LLM agent systems accumulate disorder leading to silent failures, formalized by the exponential Entropy Principle S(t) = S0 * e^(alpha * t) with empirically measured alpha, countered by proposed PIG Engine and ADE protocols.
citing papers explorer
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Agent Delivery Engineering Predictive Reliability Framework
A five-layer, 20-signal Trust Margin metric and Exponential-smoothing prediction engine achieve 8-hour-ahead degradation forecasting for production LLM agent systems with MAE=1.228 and 76.8% direction accuracy.
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Silent Failure in LLM Agent Systems: The Entropy Principle and the Inevitable Disorder of Autonomous Agents
LLM agent systems accumulate disorder leading to silent failures, formalized by the exponential Entropy Principle S(t) = S0 * e^(alpha * t) with empirically measured alpha, countered by proposed PIG Engine and ADE protocols.