A stochastic differential game predicts that all-or-nothing election stakes escalate interference spending by both sides, and a fitted application to 2016 U.S. data matches the middle of the campaign but not its start.
On the importance of elections and ideology for government pol- icy in a multi-party system
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Noncooperative dynamics in election interference
A stochastic differential game predicts that all-or-nothing election stakes escalate interference spending by both sides, and a fitted application to 2016 U.S. data matches the middle of the campaign but not its start.