A Bregman divergence approach yields a general calibeating framework that achieves U-calibration with logarithmic regret for Tsallis losses and a new regret equality for Be The Regularized Leader.
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Temperature scaling of density-matrix eigenvalues from LLM semantic embeddings optimizes proper-score calibration and corrects systematic overconfidence so entropy equals risk.
Predictive Bayesian inference posteriors concentrate onto a forward-model-dependent quantity and produce miscalibrated credible sets unless the predictive model contains the true data-generating process.
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Calibeating for general proper losses: A Bregman divergence approach
A Bregman divergence approach yields a general calibeating framework that achieves U-calibration with logarithmic regret for Tsallis losses and a new regret equality for Be The Regularized Leader.
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Temperature scaling of density-matrix eigenvalues from LLM semantic embeddings optimizes proper-score calibration and corrects systematic overconfidence so entropy equals risk.
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Predictive Bayesian inference posteriors concentrate onto a forward-model-dependent quantity and produce miscalibrated credible sets unless the predictive model contains the true data-generating process.