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Difference-in-Differences when Parallel Trends Holds Conditional on Covariates

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abstract

We consider difference-in-differences identification and estimation strategies when the parallel trends assumption holds conditional on covariates, which can be time-varying, time-invariant, or both. We uncover several weaknesses of two-way fixed effects (TWFE) regressions in this context. The most important, which we call \textit{hidden linearity bias}, arises because transformations that eliminate unit fixed effects also transform the covariates, either implicitly changing the identification strategy or relying on correct model specification. We provide diagnostics for assessing a TWFE regression's susceptibility to hidden linearity bias and propose alternative estimation strategies that circumvent these issues.

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econ.EM 1

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2024 1

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  • Good Controls Gone Bad: Difference-in-Differences with Covariates econ.EM · 2024-12-19 · reject · none · ref 6 · internal anchor

    The paper introduces the common causal covariates (CCC) assumption and a saturated 'DID-INT' estimator that is unbiased when covariate effects vary by group and time, but the heterogeneity claim is not proven.