Pandora's Regret is a closed-form pairwise scoring rule derived from expected optimal search costs that elicits true probabilities and outperforms log loss, accuracy, and F1 at predicting diagnostic costs on MedMNIST models.
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Extends EVPI and EVPPI to multicenter and meta-analysis settings by accounting for between-cluster heterogeneity, with illustration on the ADNEX model showing zero global value of information but nonzero local value.
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Pandora's Regret: A Proper Scoring Rule for Evaluating Sequential Search
Pandora's Regret is a closed-form pairwise scoring rule derived from expected optimal search costs that elicits true probabilities and outperforms log loss, accuracy, and F1 at predicting diagnostic costs on MedMNIST models.