A new framework approximates thinned count autoregressions with a normal-normal model and a latent Gaussian transform, enabling simple Bayesian reconstruction of under-reported epidemic curves.
A M arginal M oment M atching A pproach for F itting E ndemic- E pidemic M odels to U nderreported D isease S urveillance C ounts
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Modelling Under-Reported Data: Pitfalls of Na\"ive Approaches and a New Statistical Framework for Epidemic Curve Reconstruction
A new framework approximates thinned count autoregressions with a normal-normal model and a latent Gaussian transform, enabling simple Bayesian reconstruction of under-reported epidemic curves.