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Martingale property and moment explosions in signature volatility models

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Signature Methods for Optimal Market Making

math.OC · 2026-06-18 · unverdicted · novelty 5.0

Signature linearization reduces optimal market making to pseudo-linear optimization over expected signatures of augmented paths, with Sig-REINFORCE algorithm learning bid/ask quotes and outperforming PPO on Poisson and Hawkes arrival models.

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