The Sinkhorn treatment effect is a new entropic optimal transport measure of divergence between counterfactual distributions that admits first- and second-order pathwise differentiability, debiased estimators, and asymptotically valid tests for distributional treatment effects.
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A semi-supervised kernel two-sample test integrates unlabeled covariate data to achieve asymptotic normality under the null, higher power than standard kernel tests, and consistency against fixed and local alternatives.
Predictive Bayesian inference posteriors concentrate onto a forward-model-dependent quantity and produce miscalibrated credible sets unless the predictive model contains the true data-generating process.
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Sinkhorn Treatment Effects: A Causal Optimal Transport Measure
The Sinkhorn treatment effect is a new entropic optimal transport measure of divergence between counterfactual distributions that admits first- and second-order pathwise differentiability, debiased estimators, and asymptotically valid tests for distributional treatment effects.
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A Semi-Supervised Kernel Two-Sample Test
A semi-supervised kernel two-sample test integrates unlabeled covariate data to achieve asymptotic normality under the null, higher power than standard kernel tests, and consistency against fixed and local alternatives.
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Concentration and Calibration in Predictive Bayesian Inference
Predictive Bayesian inference posteriors concentrate onto a forward-model-dependent quantity and produce miscalibrated credible sets unless the predictive model contains the true data-generating process.