An agentic AI workflow evolves an adaptive XGBoost quantile regression ensemble that reduces watershed-averaged forecast error by up to 29% versus California's operational forecasts for April-July runoff at 1-6 month leads across 23 Sierra Nevada sites.
and Clark, Martyn P
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A constrained neural differential equation trained on multi-year observations predicts snow albedo with median error under 7.5% and 10-30% improvement over prior models while generalizing to unseen sites.
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Probabilistic Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting Across California's Sierra Nevada Watersheds with Agentic AI
An agentic AI workflow evolves an adaptive XGBoost quantile regression ensemble that reduces watershed-averaged forecast error by up to 29% versus California's operational forecasts for April-July runoff at 1-6 month leads across 23 Sierra Nevada sites.
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A Next-Generation Snow Albedo Parameterization for Climate Modeling using Constrained Machine Learning
A constrained neural differential equation trained on multi-year observations predicts snow albedo with median error under 7.5% and 10-30% improvement over prior models while generalizing to unseen sites.