DAPRO provides the first dynamic, theoretically guaranteed way to allocate interaction budgets across test cases for bounding time-to-event in multi-turn LLM evaluations, achieving tighter coverage than static conformal survival methods.
Conformal risk control for non-monotonic losses.arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.20151
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Conformal risk control for bounded non-monotone losses over a grid of size m achieves excess risk of order sqrt(log m / n) with n calibration samples, which is minimax optimal.
A joint finite-sample certificate for adaptive selective conformal risk control that treats selected risk as a ratio and couples empirical-Bernstein, Clopper-Pearson, and closeness bounds.
The book curates and presents proofs of important existing results in conformal prediction in a unified pedagogical format with illustrations.
citing papers explorer
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How Many Iterations to Jailbreak? Dynamic Budget Allocation for Multi-Turn LLM Evaluation
DAPRO provides the first dynamic, theoretically guaranteed way to allocate interaction budgets across test cases for bounding time-to-event in multi-turn LLM evaluations, achieving tighter coverage than static conformal survival methods.
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Conformal Risk Control under Non-Monotone Losses: Theory and Finite-Sample Guarantees
Conformal risk control for bounded non-monotone losses over a grid of size m achieves excess risk of order sqrt(log m / n) with n calibration samples, which is minimax optimal.
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A Joint Finite-Sample Certificate for Adaptive Selective Conformal Risk Control
A joint finite-sample certificate for adaptive selective conformal risk control that treats selected risk as a ratio and couples empirical-Bernstein, Clopper-Pearson, and closeness bounds.
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Theoretical Foundations of Conformal Prediction
The book curates and presents proofs of important existing results in conformal prediction in a unified pedagogical format with illustrations.