Spatial duration-augmented SPEI modeling over Italy reveals a strong south–north drought-memory gradient and shows BATs distributions dominate standard SPEI candidates while RET choice barely moves the signal.
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A spatial duration-augmented framework for drought persistence
Spatial duration-augmented SPEI modeling over Italy reveals a strong south–north drought-memory gradient and shows BATs distributions dominate standard SPEI candidates while RET choice barely moves the signal.
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Elo's heuristic and MLE perspectives coincide for binary logistic cases but demand closed-form noise corrections to scale and home-field parameters for accurate prediction, outperforming the standard approach and showing non-convergence in FIFA rankings.
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PTMC is a proposed Monte Carlo estimator that generates market-outcome distributions by simulating continuous double-auction interactions among persona-conditioned neural-policy bots whose heterogeneity is drawn from a learned distribution.
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Core-scale magnetic fields in star-forming regions are more disordered than cloud-scale fields and align randomly with core orientations and velocity gradients.
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