A new collaborative hub for nowcasting SARS-CoV-2 variant frequencies at US state level was built and tested; a simple national pooling baseline performed as well as or better than individual models during October 2024–June 2025.
Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States
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Collaborative estimation and evaluation of SARS-CoV-2 variant nowcasting in the United States
A new collaborative hub for nowcasting SARS-CoV-2 variant frequencies at US state level was built and tested; a simple national pooling baseline performed as well as or better than individual models during October 2024–June 2025.