Planck PR4 CMB data mildly favors dynamical dark energy, but this preference weakens when accounting for possible excess smoothing, indicating the signal may partly arise from data processing issues.
Signs of Dynamical Dark Energy in Current Observations
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abstract
Investigations on dark energy (DE) are currently inconclusive about its time evolution. Hints of this possibility do however glow now and then in the horizon. Herein we assess the current status of dynamical dark energy (DDE) in the light of a large body of updated $SNIa+H(z)+BAO+LSS+CMB$ observations, using the full Planck 2015 CMB likelihood. The performance of the $\Lambda$CDM model (with equation of state $w=-1$ for $\Lambda$) is confronted with that of the general XCDM and CPL parametrizations, as well as with the traditional $\Phi$CDM model based on the scalar field potential $V\sim \Phi^{-\alpha}$. In particular, we gauge the impact of the bispectrum in the LSS and BAO parts, and show that the subset of $CMB+BAO+LSS$ observations may contain the bulk of the DDE signal. The departure from $w=-1$ is significant: roughly $2.6\sigma$ for XCDM and $2.9\sigma$ for $\Phi$CDM. In both cases the full Bayesian evidence is found to be positive even for a prior range of the DDE parameters extending over several standard deviations from the mean when the bispectrum is taken into account. Positive signs follow as well from the preliminary results of Planck 2018 data using the compressed CMB likelihood. As a bonus we also find that the $\sigma_8$-tension becomes reduced with DDE.
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Is the $w_0w_a$CDM cosmological parameterization evidence for dark energy dynamics partially caused by the excess smoothing of Planck PR4 CMB anisotropy data?
Planck PR4 CMB data mildly favors dynamical dark energy, but this preference weakens when accounting for possible excess smoothing, indicating the signal may partly arise from data processing issues.
- Exploring the interplay of late-time dynamical dark energy and new physics before recombination