Prediction market contracts on manipulable asset prices enable manipulators to profit from liquidity traders and impair price discovery, with model and evidence from Polymarket Bitcoin contracts showing manipulation in five-minute but not fifteen-minute settlements.
Cryptoeconomic Systems , year =
2 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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Pith papers citing it
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2026 2representative citing papers
A matched-overlap event-study DiD of Uniswap’s protocol-fee switch finds no large short-run average LP liquidity, depth, or participation response to take-rate cuts.
citing papers explorer
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Settlement Manipulation in Prediction Markets
Prediction market contracts on manipulable asset prices enable manipulators to profit from liquidity traders and impair price discovery, with model and evidence from Polymarket Bitcoin contracts showing manipulation in five-minute but not fifteen-minute settlements.
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Causal Effects of Protocol-Fee Changes on Liquidity Provision in Automated Market Makers
A matched-overlap event-study DiD of Uniswap’s protocol-fee switch finds no large short-run average LP liquidity, depth, or participation response to take-rate cuts.