Joint 2nd- and 3rd-order cosmic shear analysis on KiDS-Legacy data produces Ω_m = 0.297^{+0.056}_{-0.040} and S_8 = 0.806^{+0.025}_{-0.023}, consistent with Planck and prior KiDS results while improving Ω_m precision.
Euclid preparation. XCVI. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 3. Inference and Forecasts
7 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
abstract
The Euclid mission aims to measure the positions, shapes, and redshifts of over a billion galaxies to provide unprecedented constraints on the nature of dark matter and dark energy. Achieving this goal requires a continuous reassessment of the mission's scientific performance, particularly in terms of its ability to constrain cosmological parameters, as our understanding of how to model large-scale structure observables improves. In this study, we present the first scientific forecasts using CLOE (Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid), a dedicated Euclid cosmological pipeline developed to support this endeavour. Using advanced Bayesian inference techniques applied to synthetic Euclid-like data, we sample the posterior distribution of cosmological and nuisance parameters across a variety of cosmological models and Euclid primary probes: cosmic shear, angular photometric galaxy clustering, galaxy-galaxy lensing, and spectroscopic galaxy clustering. We validate the capability of CLOE to produce reliable cosmological forecasts, showcasing Euclid's potential to achieve a figure of merit for the dark energy parameters $w_0$ and $w_a$ exceeding 400 when combining all primary probes. Furthermore, we illustrate the behaviour of the posterior probability distribution of the parameters of interest given different priors and scale cuts. Finally, we emphasise the importance of addressing computational challenges, proposing further exploration of innovative data science techniques to efficiently navigate the Euclid high-dimensional parameter space in upcoming cosmological data releases.
fields
astro-ph.CO 7years
2026 7representative citing papers
CosmoPostProcess delivers simulation-calibrated radial corrections for projection-induced selection bias (20-40% amplitude near 1 h^{-1} Mpc) and baryonic effects in Euclid richness-selected cluster weak lensing profiles.
UNIONS-3500 weak lensing data yields S_8 = 0.831^{+0.067}_{-0.078} in flat LCDM from 2D cosmic shear, consistent with Planck within 1 sigma.
End-to-end validation on Euclid-like mocks shows RecSym and RecIso reconstruction yield unbiased BAO measurements, improving figure of merit for Omega_m and H0 rs by factor of ~3 across 0.9<z<1.8.
Euclid collaboration develops and validates direct and spherical-harmonic estimators plus a random-split optimization for measuring the three-point galaxy correlation function at the scale of the full Euclid survey.
cloelike is a new open Python package implementing composable Gaussian likelihoods for WL, GCph, GGL, full-shape spectra, and BAO in joint probe combinations for Euclid analyses.
cloelib is a modular JAX-based Python library for cosmological observables intended as reference infrastructure for Euclid's first data release.
citing papers explorer
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KiDS-Legacy: Joint analysis of second- and third-order cosmic shear
Joint 2nd- and 3rd-order cosmic shear analysis on KiDS-Legacy data produces Ω_m = 0.297^{+0.056}_{-0.040} and S_8 = 0.806^{+0.025}_{-0.023}, consistent with Planck and prior KiDS results while improving Ω_m precision.
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Euclid preparation. CosmoPostProcess: A simulation calibrated framework for weak lensing selection bias in richness-selected galaxy clusters
CosmoPostProcess delivers simulation-calibrated radial corrections for projection-induced selection bias (20-40% amplitude near 1 h^{-1} Mpc) and baryonic effects in Euclid richness-selected cluster weak lensing profiles.
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UNIONS-3500 Weak Lensing: III. 2D Cosmological Constraints in Configuration Space
UNIONS-3500 weak lensing data yields S_8 = 0.831^{+0.067}_{-0.078} in flat LCDM from 2D cosmic shear, consistent with Planck within 1 sigma.
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\textit{Euclid} preparation. Baryon acoustic oscillations extraction techniques: comparison and optimisation
End-to-end validation on Euclid-like mocks shows RecSym and RecIso reconstruction yield unbiased BAO measurements, improving figure of merit for Omega_m and H0 rs by factor of ~3 across 0.9<z<1.8.
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Euclid preparation. Three-dimensional galaxy clustering in configuration space: Three-point correlation function estimation
Euclid collaboration develops and validates direct and spherical-harmonic estimators plus a random-split optimization for measuring the three-point galaxy correlation function at the scale of the full Euclid survey.
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cloelike: A Python Library for Cosmological Likelihood Inference in the Euclid Era
cloelike is a new open Python package implementing composable Gaussian likelihoods for WL, GCph, GGL, full-shape spectra, and BAO in joint probe combinations for Euclid analyses.
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cloelib: A Flexible Python Library for Computing Cosmological Observables in the Euclid Era
cloelib is a modular JAX-based Python library for cosmological observables intended as reference infrastructure for Euclid's first data release.