ReSGA, a large autoencoder, outperforms prior methods on joint VaR-ES forecasting for US equities and converts the edge into economic gains via a size-enhanced momentum strategy, with gains attributed to data complexity.
Patton and Johanna F
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ReSGA: A Large Tail Risk Model for Learning Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall
ReSGA, a large autoencoder, outperforms prior methods on joint VaR-ES forecasting for US equities and converts the edge into economic gains via a size-enhanced momentum strategy, with gains attributed to data complexity.
- Heavy Tails and Predictive Ability Testing