Instability-guided perturbations in the Aurora AI model can induce downstream shifts in an atmospheric river's moisture transport, potentially lowering landfall intensity in a California case study.
Exebench: Benchmarking foundation models on extreme earth events
3 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
abstract
Our planet is facing increasingly frequent extreme events, which pose major risks to human lives and ecosystems. Recent advances in machine learning (ML), especially with foundation models (FMs) trained on extensive datasets, excel in extracting features and show promise in disaster management. Nevertheless, these models often inherit biases from training data, challenging their performance over extreme values. To explore the reliability of FM in the context of extreme events, we introduce \textbf{ExE}Bench (\textbf{Ex}treme \textbf{E}arth Benchmark), a collection of seven extreme event categories across floods, wildfires, storms, tropical cyclones, extreme precipitation, heatwaves, and cold waves. The dataset features global coverage, varying data volumes, and diverse data sources with different spatial, temporal, and spectral characteristics. To broaden the real-world impact of FMs, we include multiple challenging ML tasks that are closely aligned with operational needs in extreme events detection, monitoring, and forecasting. ExEBench aims to (1) assess FM generalizability across diverse, high-impact tasks and domains, (2) promote the development of novel ML methods that benefit disaster management, and (3) offer a platform for analyzing the interactions and cascading effects of extreme events to advance our understanding of Earth system, especially under the climate change expected in the decades to come. The dataset and code are public https://github.com/zhaoshan2/EarthExtreme-Bench.
representative citing papers
SHRUG-FM fuses geophysical OOD detection, embedding-space OOD detection, and predictive uncertainty via a shallow decision tree to let foundation models abstain from unreliable outputs on burn scar, flood, and landslide tasks.
Remote-sensing foundation models need domain-specific design and evaluation around measurement physics and decision constraints; benchmark accuracy alone is insufficient for trustworthy EO deployment.
citing papers explorer
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Instability-Aware Steering of an Extreme Atmospheric River in an AI Weather Foundation Model
Instability-guided perturbations in the Aurora AI model can induce downstream shifts in an atmospheric river's moisture transport, potentially lowering landfall intensity in a California case study.
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SHRUG-FM: Reliability-Aware Foundation Models for Earth Observation
SHRUG-FM fuses geophysical OOD detection, embedding-space OOD detection, and predictive uncertainty via a shallow decision tree to let foundation models abstain from unreliable outputs on burn scar, flood, and landslide tasks.
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Scalable and Trustworthy Earth Observation Foundation Models
Remote-sensing foundation models need domain-specific design and evaluation around measurement physics and decision constraints; benchmark accuracy alone is insufficient for trustworthy EO deployment.