Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 4.3% chance of striking the Moon in 2032, producing a 1 km crater with a visible optical flash, hours of infrared afterglow, magnitude-5 seismic reverberation, and escaping debris that could reach Earth.
Title resolution pending
1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
1
Pith paper citing it
fields
astro-ph.EP 1years
2026 1verdicts
UNVERDICTED 1representative citing papers
citing papers explorer
-
Observation Timelines for the Potential Lunar Impact of Asteroid 2024 YR4
Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 4.3% chance of striking the Moon in 2032, producing a 1 km crater with a visible optical flash, hours of infrared afterglow, magnitude-5 seismic reverberation, and escaping debris that could reach Earth.