BLF achieves state-of-the-art binary forecasting on ForecastBench by using linguistic belief states updated in tool-use loops, hierarchical multi-trial logit averaging, and hierarchical Platt scaling calibration.
Jones, Philip E
1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
1
Pith paper citing it
fields
cs.AI 1years
2026 1verdicts
UNVERDICTED 1representative citing papers
citing papers explorer
-
Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs
BLF achieves state-of-the-art binary forecasting on ForecastBench by using linguistic belief states updated in tool-use loops, hierarchical multi-trial logit averaging, and hierarchical Platt scaling calibration.