In two preregistered experiments with 1,380 participants, line-based multiple forecast visualizations beat confidence intervals at communicating the shape of forecast distributions, while linewidth and opacity weighting did not clearly hurt distribution perception.
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Seeing Through the Forecast Clutter: Communicating Climate Forecast Distributions with Weighted Multiple Forecast Visualizations
In two preregistered experiments with 1,380 participants, line-based multiple forecast visualizations beat confidence intervals at communicating the shape of forecast distributions, while linewidth and opacity weighting did not clearly hurt distribution perception.