Formulates privacy-constrained advertising measurement as a robust causal decision problem under signal loss and derives a sharp decision frontier separating certifiable from unresolved incrementality claims.
and Gallusser, Fabian and Koehler, Jim and Remy, Nicolas and Scott, Steven L
4 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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A new Bayesian dynamic model integrates realized volatility proxies with price series via dynamic gamma processes and DLMs to enhance financial forecasting.
Bayesian ensemble MCMC fits a cubic-plus-damped-oscillatory model to Ghana malaria data, reports R² > 0.995, and extrapolates rising case counts through 2026 with widening uncertainty.
Hybrid GPR and Holt-Winters model applied to 2014-2023 Ghana malaria admission data achieves R²=0.9906 on validation and generates 2024-2028 forecasts of 8000-12200 average monthly cases.
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Bayesian Dynamic Modeling of Realized Volatility in Financial Asset Price Forecasting
A new Bayesian dynamic model integrates realized volatility proxies with price series via dynamic gamma processes and DLMs to enhance financial forecasting.