ART gives exact finite-sample false-alarm control for changepoint testing, localization, and post-detection inference by ranking order-symmetric scores, with no distributional or model assumptions.
TUNE: Algorithm-Agnostic Inference after Changepoint Detection
1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
abstract
In multiple changepoint analysis, assessing the uncertainty of detected changepoints is crucial for enhancing detection reliability -- a topic that has garnered significant attention. Despite advancements through selective p-values, current methodologies often rely on stringent assumptions tied to specific changepoint models and detection algorithms, potentially compromising the accuracy of post-detection statistical inference. We introduce TUNE (Thresholding Universally and Nullifying change Effect), a novel algorithm-agnostic approach that uniformly controls error probabilities across detected changepoints. TUNE sets a universal threshold for multiple test statistics, applicable across a wide range of algorithms, and directly controls the family-wise error rate without the need for selective p-values. Through extensive theoretical and numerical analyses, TUNE demonstrates versatility, robustness, and competitive power, offering a viable and reliable alternative for model-agnostic post-detection inference.
fields
stat.ME 1years
2025 1verdicts
CONDITIONAL 1representative citing papers
citing papers explorer
-
ART: Distribution-Free and Model-Agnostic Changepoint Detection with Finite-Sample Guarantees
ART gives exact finite-sample false-alarm control for changepoint testing, localization, and post-detection inference by ranking order-symmetric scores, with no distributional or model assumptions.