SVAR-FM uses simulator clamping to produce interventional distributions and flow matching to identify time series causal structures, with an error bound that predicts sign reversal of causal effects below a simulator accuracy threshold.
Modeling causal mechanisms with diffusion models for interventional and counterfactual queries
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Intervention-Based Time Series Causal Discovery via Simulator-Generated Interventional Distributions
SVAR-FM uses simulator clamping to produce interventional distributions and flow matching to identify time series causal structures, with an error bound that predicts sign reversal of causal effects below a simulator accuracy threshold.