TRACE creates valid conformal prediction sets for complex generative models by scoring outputs via averaged denoising or velocity errors along stochastic transport paths instead of likelihoods.
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12 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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HAPS constructs shorter conformal prediction sets for censored time-to-event outcomes by using time-varying covariate histories and IPCW, achieving approximate coverage among survivors with up to 75% shorter intervals in simulations.
Risk-controlled post-processing yields a threshold-structured policy that follows the baseline except where an oracle fallback sharply reduces conditional violation risk, achieving O(log n/n) expected excess risk in i.i.d. settings and exact risk control under exchangeability.
Trimming helps conformal prediction under contamination precisely when the anomaly score separates retention probabilities without biasing clean scores, otherwise the retained mixture coefficient prevents substantial decontamination.
A classification-integrated conformal framework for zero-inflated outcomes that guarantees marginal coverage and asymptotic minimal length under exchangeability, independent of the underlying models.
Laplace approximation framework for quantile regression with mixed-effects and Gaussian processes using Fisher information and population curvature of expected loss instead of observed Hessian.
C-SymmPI reformulates conditional coverage as miscoverage error over a user-specified function class to deliver near-conditional guarantees under group symmetries and distributional invariance.
RisCoSet applies multiple hypothesis testing to construct risk-controlling partial-program prediction sets for LLM code generation, achieving up to 24.5% less code removal than prior methods at equivalent risk levels.
A fair conformal classification method guarantees conditional coverage on adaptively identified subgroups defined via learned representations.
CONTRA generates sharp multi-dimensional conformal prediction regions by defining nonconformity scores as distances from the center in the latent space of a normalizing flow.
Temporal difference calibration aligns uncertainty estimates in vision-language-action models with their value functions for better sequential performance.
PPM injects parametric structural priors into generative models via a learnable mapping to improve probabilistic forecasts on non-stationary MTS data.
citing papers explorer
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TRACE: Transport Alignment Conformal Prediction via Diffusion and Flow Matching Models
TRACE creates valid conformal prediction sets for complex generative models by scoring outputs via averaged denoising or velocity errors along stochastic transport paths instead of likelihoods.
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History-Aware Conformal Prediction Sets for Censored Time-to-Event Outcomes
HAPS constructs shorter conformal prediction sets for censored time-to-event outcomes by using time-varying covariate histories and IPCW, achieving approximate coverage among survivors with up to 75% shorter intervals in simulations.
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Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies
Risk-controlled post-processing yields a threshold-structured policy that follows the baseline except where an oracle fallback sharply reduces conditional violation risk, achieving O(log n/n) expected excess risk in i.i.d. settings and exact risk control under exchangeability.
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When Does Trimming Help Conformal Prediction? A Retained-Law Diagnostic under Calibration Contamination
Trimming helps conformal prediction under contamination precisely when the anomaly score separates retention probabilities without biasing clean scores, otherwise the retained mixture coefficient prevents substantial decontamination.
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Classification-Powered Conformal Inference for Zero-inflated Outcomes
A classification-integrated conformal framework for zero-inflated outcomes that guarantees marginal coverage and asymptotic minimal length under exchangeability, independent of the underlying models.
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Laplace Approximations for Mixed-Effects and Gaussian Process Quantile Regression
Laplace approximation framework for quantile regression with mixed-effects and Gaussian processes using Fisher information and population curvature of expected loss instead of observed Hessian.
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Conditional Predictive Inference for General Structured Data with Group Symmetries
C-SymmPI reformulates conditional coverage as miscoverage error over a user-specified function class to deliver near-conditional guarantees under group symmetries and distributional invariance.
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Uncertainty Quantification for LLM-based Code Generation
RisCoSet applies multiple hypothesis testing to construct risk-controlling partial-program prediction sets for LLM code generation, achieving up to 24.5% less code removal than prior methods at equivalent risk levels.
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Fair Conformal Classification via Learning Representation-Based Groups
A fair conformal classification method guarantees conditional coverage on adaptively identified subgroups defined via learned representations.
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CONTRA: Conformal Prediction Region via Normalizing Flow Transformation
CONTRA generates sharp multi-dimensional conformal prediction regions by defining nonconformity scores as distances from the center in the latent space of a normalizing flow.
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Temporal Difference Calibration in Sequential Tasks: Application to Vision-Language-Action Models
Temporal difference calibration aligns uncertainty estimates in vision-language-action models with their value functions for better sequential performance.
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Parametric Prior Mapping Framework for Non-stationary Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
PPM injects parametric structural priors into generative models via a learnable mapping to improve probabilistic forecasts on non-stationary MTS data.