Variational predictive resampling iteratively imputes data from a variational predictive to produce posterior samples that converge to the exact Bayesian posterior in Gaussian models where mean-field VI retains a gap.
Is in-context learning in large language models bayesian? a martingale perspective
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Manifold steering along activation geometry induces behavioral trajectories matching the natural manifold of outputs, while linear steering produces off-manifold unnatural behaviors.
SITE applies soft gradient-based head selection to inject ICL-derived task embeddings, outperforming prior embedding adaptation and few-shot ICL across generation, reasoning, and NLU tasks on 12 LLMs from 4B to 70B parameters.
An agentic forecaster with linguistic belief states, logit-space multi-trial shrinkage, and hierarchical Platt calibration achieves SOTA Brier Index on ForecastBench binary questions.
Equation-to-Behavior Prompting lets large LLMs match cognitive models like Bayesian updating in persuasion games; RL training cuts small-model belief error by 26.5% and improves diverse training outcomes by 2.5-12%.
LILO integrates LLMs to translate natural language feedback into preference signals for Gaussian process-based Bayesian optimization, outperforming standard preference BO and LLM-only methods on benchmarks.
citing papers explorer
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Variational predictive resampling
Variational predictive resampling iteratively imputes data from a variational predictive to produce posterior samples that converge to the exact Bayesian posterior in Gaussian models where mean-field VI retains a gap.
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Manifold Steering Reveals the Shared Geometry of Neural Network Representation and Behavior
Manifold steering along activation geometry induces behavioral trajectories matching the natural manifold of outputs, while linear steering produces off-manifold unnatural behaviors.
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Soft Head Selection for Injecting ICL-Derived Task Embeddings
SITE applies soft gradient-based head selection to inject ICL-derived task embeddings, outperforming prior embedding adaptation and few-shot ICL across generation, reasoning, and NLU tasks on 12 LLMs from 4B to 70B parameters.
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Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs
An agentic forecaster with linguistic belief states, logit-space multi-trial shrinkage, and hierarchical Platt calibration achieves SOTA Brier Index on ForecastBench binary questions.
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Using Cognitive Models to Improve Language Model Simulation of Human Persuasion Games
Equation-to-Behavior Prompting lets large LLMs match cognitive models like Bayesian updating in persuasion games; RL training cuts small-model belief error by 26.5% and improves diverse training outcomes by 2.5-12%.
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LILO: Bayesian Optimization with Natural Language Feedback
LILO integrates LLMs to translate natural language feedback into preference signals for Gaussian process-based Bayesian optimization, outperforming standard preference BO and LLM-only methods on benchmarks.