Prediction market contracts on manipulable asset prices enable manipulators to profit from liquidity traders and impair price discovery, with model and evidence from Polymarket Bitcoin contracts showing manipulation in five-minute but not fifteen-minute settlements.
Management Science , year =
1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
1
Pith paper citing it
fields
q-fin.TR 1years
2026 1verdicts
UNVERDICTED 1representative citing papers
citing papers explorer
-
Settlement Manipulation in Prediction Markets
Prediction market contracts on manipulable asset prices enable manipulators to profit from liquidity traders and impair price discovery, with model and evidence from Polymarket Bitcoin contracts showing manipulation in five-minute but not fifteen-minute settlements.