A reservoir-computing pipeline that extracts and predicts the fast forcing from slow-variable data can forecast rare critical transitions ahead of time in slow-fast dynamical systems.
Discrete-time signatures and randomness in reservoir computing
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abstract
A new explanation of geometric nature of the reservoir computing phenomenon is presented. Reservoir computing is understood in the literature as the possibility of approximating input/output systems with randomly chosen recurrent neural systems and a trained linear readout layer. Light is shed on this phenomenon by constructing what is called strongly universal reservoir systems as random projections of a family of state-space systems that generate Volterra series expansions. This procedure yields a state-affine reservoir system with randomly generated coefficients in a dimension that is logarithmically reduced with respect to the original system. This reservoir system is able to approximate any element in the fading memory filters class just by training a different linear readout for each different filter. Explicit expressions for the probability distributions needed in the generation of the projected reservoir system are stated and bounds for the committed approximation error are provided.
fields
physics.comp-ph 1years
2019 1verdicts
CONDITIONAL 1representative citing papers
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Predicting Critical Transitions in Multiscale Dynamical Systems Using Reservoir Computing
A reservoir-computing pipeline that extracts and predicts the fast forcing from slow-variable data can forecast rare critical transitions ahead of time in slow-fast dynamical systems.