Non-spanning expiries identify the no-event volatility surface while event-spanning quotes calibrate deterministic-time jumps, yielding better held-out pricing for SPX options around macro events than surface-absorbing or amortized alternatives.
Prices of state-contingent claims implicit in option prices
2 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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Derives a generalized European option pricing PDE from an operational-time log-price lattice with state-dependent transitions that converges to the Black-Scholes-Merton PDE under risk-neutral drift and constant volatility.
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Non-Spanning Identification of Scheduled Event Risk in Option Pricing
Non-spanning expiries identify the no-event volatility surface while event-spanning quotes calibrate deterministic-time jumps, yielding better held-out pricing for SPX options around macro events than surface-absorbing or amortized alternatives.
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Option prices from operational-time reaction-boundary lattices
Derives a generalized European option pricing PDE from an operational-time log-price lattice with state-dependent transitions that converges to the Black-Scholes-Merton PDE under risk-neutral drift and constant volatility.