Tabular foundation models excel on tiny- to medium-sized IID data but are outperformed by traditional tree-based and deep learning models on non-IID, large, and high-dimensional datasets, based on evaluations across 11 models and 142 datasets in the new BeyondArena benchmark.
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SSLA approximates the posterior predictive distribution by refitting Bayesian models on self-predicted data, yielding a deterministic uncertainty measure that outperforms standard Laplace approximations in calibration on regression tasks.
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Beyond IID: How General Are Tabular Foundation Models, Really?
Tabular foundation models excel on tiny- to medium-sized IID data but are outperformed by traditional tree-based and deep learning models on non-IID, large, and high-dimensional datasets, based on evaluations across 11 models and 142 datasets in the new BeyondArena benchmark.