PERSUASIONTRACE introduces a Bayesian-network simulated target for multi-turn persuasion that matches human belief dynamics (81 vs 80) better than LLM baselines (64) and enables process-level evaluation.
Bayesian Persuasion and Information Design.Annual Review of Economics, 11(1): 249–272, August 2019
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A Model of Multi-turn Human Persuadability Using Probabilistic Belief Tracing
PERSUASIONTRACE introduces a Bayesian-network simulated target for multi-turn persuasion that matches human belief dynamics (81 vs 80) better than LLM baselines (64) and enables process-level evaluation.