PERSUASIONTRACE introduces a Bayesian-network simulated target for multi-turn persuasion that matches human belief dynamics (81 vs 80) better than LLM baselines (64) and enables process-level evaluation.
Annual Review of Eco- nomics11(2019)
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Continuity and robustness of Bayesian persuasion to infinitesimal Knightian uncertainty about receiver preferences are equivalent and generic.
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A Model of Multi-turn Human Persuadability Using Probabilistic Belief Tracing
PERSUASIONTRACE introduces a Bayesian-network simulated target for multi-turn persuasion that matches human belief dynamics (81 vs 80) better than LLM baselines (64) and enables process-level evaluation.