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arXiv preprint arXiv:2506.08572 , year=

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Reading Calibrated Uncertainty from Language Model Trajectories

cs.LG · 2026-05-19 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

Geometric features from per-layer MLP update trajectories fed to a sparse linear probe outperform maximum softmax probability for uncertainty quantification under selective abstention, with gains up to 21 AURC points.

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  • Reading Calibrated Uncertainty from Language Model Trajectories cs.LG · 2026-05-19 · unverdicted · none · ref 21

    Geometric features from per-layer MLP update trajectories fed to a sparse linear probe outperform maximum softmax probability for uncertainty quantification under selective abstention, with gains up to 21 AURC points.