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Rational Expectations in Empirical Bayes

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abstract

We propose a principled framework for nonparametric empirical Bayes (EB) estimation, based on the idea that the prior should be consistent with the observed posterior and that Bayesian updating should be stable. Focusing on discretized priors, we characterize EB estimators as fixed points of a posterior belief operator. We establish the uniqueness of such fixed points and illustrate how the approach improves transparency and interpretability in standard EB settings, including a recent model of discrimination.

fields

econ.GN 1

years

2024 1

verdicts

CONDITIONAL 1

representative citing papers

Inter-firm Heterogeneity in Production

econ.GN · 2024-11-24 · conditional · novelty 6.0

Using Empirical Bayes on three country panels, the authors estimate firm-specific Cobb-Douglas and CES technologies and report large heterogeneity in output elasticities plus a strong negative correlation between factor-neutral productivity and returns to scale.

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  • Inter-firm Heterogeneity in Production econ.GN · 2024-11-24 · conditional · none · ref 9 · internal anchor

    Using Empirical Bayes on three country panels, the authors estimate firm-specific Cobb-Douglas and CES technologies and report large heterogeneity in output elasticities plus a strong negative correlation between factor-neutral productivity and returns to scale.