AIFS-SUBS matches IFS probabilistic skill at weeks 2–6 with reduced biases, extends skilful MJO OLR forecasts by eight days, and runs at ~200× lower energy cost.
Ensemble-Size-Dependence of Deep-Learning Post-Processing Methods That Minimize an (Un)Fair Score: Motivating Examples and a Proof-of-Concept Solution , shorttitle =
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AIFS-SUBS: Extending Data-Driven Forecasting to Sub-Seasonal Timescales
AIFS-SUBS matches IFS probabilistic skill at weeks 2–6 with reduced biases, extends skilful MJO OLR forecasts by eight days, and runs at ~200× lower energy cost.