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arxiv: 1207.2453 · v2 · pith:3BTLWV5Qnew · submitted 2012-07-10 · 🧮 math.ST · stat.TH

Semiparametric stationarity tests based on adaptive multidimensional increment ratio statistics

classification 🧮 math.ST stat.TH
keywords testsmemorystationarityadaptiveestimatorincrementlargelong
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In this paper, we show that the adaptive multidimensional increment ratio estimator of the long range memory parameter defined in Bardet and Dola (2012) satisfies a central limit theorem (CLT in the sequel) for a large semiparametric class of Gaussian fractionally integrated processes with memory parameter $d \in (-0.5,1.25)$. Since the asymptotic variance of this CLT can be computed, tests of stationarity or nonstationarity distinguishing the assumptions $d<0.5$ and $d \geq 0.5$ are constructed. These tests are also consistent tests of unit root. Simulations done on a large benchmark of short memory, long memory and non stationary processes show the accuracy of the tests with respect to other usual stationarity or nonstationarity tests (LMC, V/S, ADF and PP tests). Finally, the estimator and tests are applied to log-returns of famous economic data and to their absolute value power laws.

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