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Statistics Theory

Applied, computational and theoretical statistics: e.g. statistical inference, regression, time series, multivariate analysis, data analysis, Markov chain Monte Carlo, design of experiments, case studies

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math.ST 2026-05-13 3 theorems

Gaussian limits for spectral statistics survive fourth-moment corrections

by Yanqing Yin, Wang Zhou

The Geometry of Spectral Fluctuations: On Near-Optimal Conditions for Universal Gaussian CLTs, with Statistical Applications

Covariance decomposition isolates a universal Gaussian term plus explicit fourth-order adjustments for linear statistics of high-dimensional

abstract click to expand
We study linear spectral statistics of high dimensional sample covariance matrices in a regime where the empirical spectral distribution remains governed by the classical sample covariance law but the fluctuation theory is nonclassical. Our starting point is a decomposition of the covariance of centered quadratic forms into a universal Gaussian part and a model dependent fourth order correction. This leads to an abstract framework, termed GHOST, for universal Gaussian central limit theorems under structured fourth order effects. Under this framework, we prove a Gaussian central limit theorem for linear spectral statistics, with explicit mean and covariance corrections determined by a bilinear fourth order kernel. Boundary examples show that the conditions are close to necessary for a broad universal Gaussian closure. We then develop a blockwise mixed radial model that verifies the abstract assumptions and makes the correction explicit. The correction splits into an entrywise fourth moment component and a lockwise energy fluctuation component. The latter may change the fluctuation scale, leading to a phase transition at the level of fluctuations. As an application, we study sphericity testing. Under the spherical null, the general correction collapses to a single scalar parameter, yielding a feasible data driven correction of John's test.
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