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arxiv: 1506.00914 · v1 · pith:Z67S7TGGnew · submitted 2015-06-02 · ⚛️ physics.hist-ph

Time to Quantify Falsifiability

classification ⚛️ physics.hist-ph
keywords falsifiabilityscientificallowsargueargumentsbayesiancalculationscertain
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Here we argue that the notion of falsifiability, a key concept in defining a valid scientific theory, can be quantified using Bayesian Model Selection, which is a standard tool in modern statistics. This relates falsifiability to the quantitative version of the Occam's razor, and allows transforming some long-running arguments about validity of certain scientific theories from philosophical discussions to mathematical calculations. This is a Letter to the editor.

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