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arxiv: 1610.03215 · v1 · pith:MQFJDMSXnew · submitted 2016-10-11 · 🧮 math.ST · stat.TH

Specification testing in nonparametric AR-ARCH models

classification 🧮 math.ST stat.TH
keywords conditionalautoregressiveindependencemodelseriessuggestedtesttime
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In this paper an autoregressive time series model with conditional heteroscedasticity is considered, where both conditional mean and conditional variance function are modeled nonparametrically. A test for the model assumption of independence of innovations from past time series values is suggested. The test is based on an weighted $L^2$-distance of empirical characteristic functions. The asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis of independence is derived and consistency against fixed alternatives is shown. A smooth autoregressive residual bootstrap procedure is suggested and its performance is shown in a simulation study.

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