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arxiv: 1612.09152 · v2 · pith:HD42MSTWnew · submitted 2016-12-29 · 💱 q-fin.MF · math.OC

A Risk-Neutral Equilibrium Leading to Uncertain Volatility Pricing

classification 💱 q-fin.MF math.OC
keywords equilibriumpricederivativeleadsrisk-neutralvalueagentagents
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We study the formation of derivative prices in equilibrium between risk-neutral agents with heterogeneous beliefs about the dynamics of the underlying. Under the condition that the derivative cannot be shorted, we prove the existence of a unique equilibrium price and show that it incorporates the speculative value of possibly reselling the derivative. This value typically leads to a bubble; that is, the price exceeds the autonomous valuation of any given agent. Mathematically, the equilibrium price operator is of the same nonlinear form that is obtained in single-agent settings with strong aversion against model uncertainty. Thus, our equilibrium leads to a novel interpretation of this price.

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