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arxiv: 1807.11729 · v3 · pith:4ZYEEPCJnew · submitted 2018-07-31 · 🧮 math.PR · cs.DM· cs.IT· math.CO· math.IT

Expectation of the Largest bet size in Labouchere System

classification 🧮 math.PR cs.DMcs.ITmath.COmath.IT
keywords systembettingexpectationfamilyfraclaboucherelargestsize
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For Labouchere system with winning probability $p$ at each coup, we prove that the expectation of the largest bet size under any initial list is finite if $p>\frac{1}{2}$, and is infinite if $p\le \frac{1}{2}$, solving the open conjecture in Grimmett and Stirzaker (2001). The same result holds for a general family of betting systems, and the proof builds upon a recursive representation of the optimal betting system in the larger family.

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