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arxiv: 1808.01739 · v1 · pith:4QLQQ7BHnew · submitted 2018-08-06 · 💻 cs.LG · stat.ML

Concentration bounds for empirical conditional value-at-risk: The unbounded case

classification 💻 cs.LG stat.ML
keywords concentrationcvarvalue-at-riskboundcaseconditionalestimatorobjective
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In several real-world applications involving decision making under uncertainty, the traditional expected value objective may not be suitable, as it may be necessary to control losses in the case of a rare but extreme event. Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a popular risk measure for modeling the aforementioned objective. We consider the problem of estimating CVaR from i.i.d. samples of an unbounded random variable, which is either sub-Gaussian or sub-exponential. We derive a novel one-sided concentration bound for a natural sample-based CVaR estimator in this setting. Our bound relies on a concentration result for a quantile-based estimator for Value-at-Risk (VaR), which may be of independent interest.

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