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cs.LG

Machine Learning

Papers on all aspects of machine learning research (supervised, unsupervised, reinforcement learning, bandit problems, and so on) including also robustness, explanation, fairness, and methodology. cs.LG is also an appropriate primary category for applications of machine learning methods.

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cs.LG 2026-05-25 2 theorems

Low dimension suffices for near-max retrieval margins

by Kiril Bangachev, Guy Bresler +2 more

Is Dimensionality a Barrier for Retrieval Models?

Dimension O(m^{-2} log n) nearly matches the infinite-dimension margin for any relevance matrix A.

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Why does the low dimensionality of representations, typically $d\approx 1000$, not prevent modern embedding-based retrieval models from scaling to billions, or even trillions, of data points? To answer this question, we study maximal-margin embeddings in the following retrieval model, classically studied in communication complexity [PS86] and more recently in embedding-based retrieval [WBNL26]. Let $A\in \{0,1\}^{N\times n}$ be a matrix indicating whether each of $N$ queries is relevant to each of $n$ documents. We are interested in the largest margin $m>0,$ denoted by $\mathsf{m}^{\mathsf{rd}}(d, A),$ for which there exist unit norm embeddings of the queries and documents $\{U_j\}_{j = 1}^N, \{V_i\}_{i = 1}^n$ with the following property. $\langle U_j, V_i\rangle \ge m$ whenever $A_{ji} = 1$ and $\langle U_j, V_i\rangle \le -m$ otherwise. A large margin is a key proxy for representation quality: it controls both robustness to perturbations and compositional generalization across queries. Our main theorem establishes that the best possible margin without a restriction on the dimension, $\mathsf{m}^{\mathsf{rd}}(+\infty, A),$ can be nearly achieved in dimension $d = O(\mathsf{m}^{\mathsf{rd}}(+\infty, A)^{-2}\log n)$ which improves a theorem of [BDES02]. Together with a matching lower bound in Theorem 1.5, we conclude that when $A\in \{0,1\}^{\binom{n}{k}\times n}$ is the matrix containing all possible $k$-sparse rows once, dimension $d = O(k\log (n/k))$ is necessary and sufficient for the maximal possible margin $\mathsf{m}^{\mathsf{rd}}(+\infty, A) = \Theta(k^{-1/2})$ in this setting. This fully resolves the setup of [WBNL26]. We also give several constructions for large margins when $d = o(k\log (n/k)).$ Finally, we empirically test the InfoNCE and sigmoid losses for producing large margin embeddings and demonstrate a clear advantage of the sigmoid loss.
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cs.LG 2026-05-22 3 theorems

RICA defines local disentanglement with a Hessian-Ricci tensor

by Edmond Cunningham

Disentanglement Beyond Generative Models with Riemannian ICA

The construction drops ICA's global generative requirement while recovering sources consistently across manifold representations.

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There is a gap between the theoretical foundations of disentanglement and the practice of modern representation learning. Existing theoretical frameworks, particularly Independent Component Analysis (ICA) and its nonlinear variants, assume a generative model with statistically independent latent variables underlying the data so that disentanglement amounts to identifying the latents that could have generated the data. This generative framework is interpretable and theoretically justified, but its strong assumptions make it difficult to apply to modern representation learning. Modern pretrained encoders often learn features that exhibit disentangled properties without making generative assumptions, yet there is no general theory for interpreting these features as independent factors of variation. We take a step toward such a theory by introducing Riemannian ICA (RICA), which replaces ICA's global generative model with local geometric structure. RICA is founded on the observation that in ICA, the factors of variation underlying a data point can be understood through radial curves emanating from the point that map to axis-aligned lines in the latent space. We formalize this perspective using Riemannian geometry and introduce our theory in a way that is consistent with the existing generative approach. Our main contribution is the disentanglement tensor, which encodes a second-order notion of disentanglement that we call pointwise disentanglement. This tensor depends on the Hessian of the data log likelihood as well as the Ricci curvature induced by the model. In a controlled source recovery setting with known ground-truth sources, RICA recovers sources across several manifolds, while the success of ICA baselines depends on the coordinates used to represent the observations. Our work provides a theoretical basis for studying local disentanglement without assuming a global generative model.
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cs.LG 2026-05-22 2 theorems

Graph tokenization fixes transformer depth for structure recovery

by Maya Bechler-Speicher, Gilad Yehudai +4 more

Lost in Tokenization: Fundamental Trade-offs in Graph Tokenization for Transformers

Random-walk maps lose information permanently while spectral maps preserve it but hinder local tasks, creating provable depth gaps between 2

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Transformers have become a central architecture for graph learning, but their application to graphs requires first choosing a tokenization: a graph-to-token map that determines which structural information is exposed at the input. In this work, we show that this choice is a fundamental component of transformer expressivity. We examine three tokenizations that serve as building blocks for many existing graph tokenizations: spectral, random-walk, and adjacency tokenizations. We prove that different tokenizations induce distinct depth regimes: the same graph computation may be realizable by a shallow transformer under one tokenization, while requiring substantially larger depth under another. For example, we prove that random-walk tokenization is lossy for any walk length, making it impossible in general to recover the graph from it, and that while spectral tokenization is lossless, it is ill-conditioned for local tasks. We further show that although both random-walk and spectral tokenizations are derived from adjacency information, it is impossible for a limited-depth transformer to convert between tokenization families in general. In particular, we establish lower bounds and impossibility results showing that unfavorable tokenizations may preclude the efficient recovery of more suitable structural representations. Finally, we complement our theory with controlled experiments on synthetic and real-world tasks, validating the predicted separations and showing that different tasks favor different structural views, and combining complementary tokenizations allows the transformer to leverage distinct signals from each representation.
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cs.LG 2026-05-22 2 theorems

Stronger backdoor triggers can raise clean accuracy in high dimensions

by Donald Flynn, Hadas Yaron Goldhirsh +2 more

When Stronger Triggers Backfire: A High-Dimensional Theory of Backdoor Attacks

Proportional-regime analysis shows attack success peaks then falls while clean performance improves with training trigger strength.

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Backdoor poisoning attacks behave counter-intuitively in high dimensions: stronger training triggers can help the defender. We study regularised generalised linear models on Gaussian-mixture data in the proportional regime ($p/n \to \kappa$), varying the training trigger strength $\alpha$ against a fixed test trigger. Three phenomena emerge: (i) clean test accuracy increases with $\alpha$; (ii) attack success peaks at a finite $\alpha$ and then declines; and (iii) the most damaging trigger direction is the minimum eigenvector of the data covariance. We prove all three results in closed form for the squared loss, and extend (i) and (ii) to general convex GLM losses via a Gaussian-proxy fixed-point system. We identify a finite-sample noise floor proportional to $\kappa$ as the mechanism behind (i), invisible to classical $n \gg p$ analysis. Experiments on CIFAR-10 and Gaussian surrogates match the theory closely; ResNet-18 experiments show the same phenomena beyond the convex setting.
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cs.LG 2026-05-21 2 theorems

Entmax turns KV cache truncation into exact support recovery

by Gonçalo Duarte, Miguel Couceiro +1 more

EntmaxKV: Support-Aware Decoding for Entmax Attention

When selected pages capture the entmax support, sparse decoding matches the full version exactly and error vanishes with the dropped mass.

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Long-context decoding is increasingly limited by KV-cache memory traffic since each generated token attends over a cache whose size grows linearly with context length. Existing sparse decoding methods reduce this cost by selecting subsets of tokens or pages, but are designed for softmax attention, whose dense tails make any truncation discard nonzero probability mass. In contrast, $\alpha$-entmax produces exact zeros, turning sparse decoding from dense-tail approximation into support recovery: if the selected candidates contain the entmax support, sparse decoding remains exact. While recent entmax kernels enable efficient training, they do not address the autoregressive decoding bottleneck, where dense inference still streams the full KV cache before sparsity is known. In this work, we introduce EntmaxKV, an entmax-native sparse decoding framework that exploits sparsity before KV pages are loaded. EntmaxKV combines query-aware page scoring, support-aware candidate selection, and sparse entmax attention. We analyze truncation error through the dropped probability mass $\delta$, showing that output error is controlled by $\delta$ and vanishes when the entmax support is recovered. We further introduce a Gaussian-aware entmax selector that estimates the entmax threshold from lightweight page statistics, adapting the selected budget to the score distribution. Empirically, EntmaxKV drops less probability mass, retains more support tokens, and achieves lower output error than softmax-based sparse decoding at matched KV budgets. On long-context and language modeling benchmarks, it closely matches full-cache entmax while using a small fraction of the KV cache, achieving up to $3.36\times$ (softmax) and $5.43\times$ (entmax) speedup over full attention baselines at 1M context length. Code available at: https://github.com/deep-spin/entmaxkv.
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cs.LG 2026-05-19 2 theorems

Wrapper gives pathwise risk control for updating LLMs

by Hamed Khosravi, Xiaoming Huo

Conformal Selective Acting: Anytime-Valid Risk Control for RLVR-Trained LLMs

CSA maintains per-round selective risk bounds under predictable updates without pooling across deployments.

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A local specialist LLM, fine-tuned with reinforcement learning from verifiable rewards (RLVR) on operator-local data, is installed in a regulated organization with per-deployment error budget $\alpha$. The operator needs a safety certificate for this deployment's stream at every round: no pooling across deployments, no waiting for a long-run average. Existing wrappers cannot deliver this on adaptive, online-updated streams: offline conformal-risk methods require exchangeability; online-conformal methods bound only long-run averages; non-exchangeable extensions are marginally valid; and the closest anytime wrapper, A-RCPS, controls marginal rather than selective risk. Using a (test statistic, validity guarantee, deployment rule) framework, we identify one empty cell forced by deployment requirements: e-process per threshold, selective risk, anytime-pathwise validity, max-certified-threshold rule. Conformal Selective Acting (CSA) fills it as a per-round wrapper maintaining a Ville-type e-process per threshold on a Bonferroni grid, evaluated against the RLVR filtration. Under predictable updates and isotonic-calibrated monotone risk we prove (i) an anytime-pathwise selective-risk bound $R_T^{\mathrm{act}}\le\alpha+O(N_T^{-1/2})$, (ii) rate-optimal certification matching $\Theta(\bar\eta^{-2}\log(1/\delta))$, and (iii) a horizon-independent release-rate gap. Across eight specialist benchmarks ($480$ streams), sixteen adversarial distribution-shift cells ($160$ streams), and five live Expert-Iteration RLVR cells with online LoRA over four base models in three architecture families ($10{,}300$ rounds), CSA is the only method among ten compared that satisfies pathwise validity and non-refusing deployment on every cell. We do not propose a new LLM, training algorithm, or policy class; CSA is the deployment-side complement, orthogonal to the model, for operators who cannot use a frontier API.
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cs.LG 2026-05-19 2 theorems

Low-rank bandits recover drifting subspaces from scalar rewards

by Hamed Khosravi, Xiaoming Huo

Catching a Moving Subspace: Low-Rank Bandits Beyond Stationarity

Three probe conditions suffice for identification and replace ambient d sqrt(T) regret with intrinsic r sqrt(T) plus detection cost.

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Many bandit deployments (recommendation, clinical dosing, ad targeting) share two facts prior work handles only in isolation: rewards live on a low-dimensional latent subspace, and that subspace drifts. Stationary low-rank bandits exploit rank but break under subspace change; non-stationary linear bandits adapt to drift but pay ambient rate $\widetilde{O}(d\sqrt{T})$. We study piecewise-stationary low-rank linear contextual bandits with scalar feedback: $\theta_t = B_k^\star w_t$ with rank-$r$ factor $B_k^\star\in\mathbb{R}^{d\times r}$ constant within each of $K$ unknown segments and able to shift at boundaries. Our results are tight along three axes. (i) Identification boundary. With single-play scalar rewards, the moving subspace is recoverable through quadratic functionals of rewards iff three probe-side conditions hold: known noise variance, bounded state-noise coupling, and full-dimensional probe support. Each is necessary in the unrestricted-second-moment problem, and jointly they are sufficient, characterizing the boundary of the solvable region. (ii) Algorithm and dynamic regret. SPSC interleaves isotropic probes with windowed projected ridge-UCB exploitation inside the learned $r$-dimensional subspace; a CUSUM-style variant discovers segment boundaries online. The costed dynamic regret is $\widetilde{O}(r\sqrt{T})+\widetilde{O}(T^{2/3})+O(W\,V_{\mathrm{in}})$, replacing the ambient $d\sqrt{T}$ rate with the intrinsic rank. (iii) Empirics. On eleven benchmarks spanning synthetic, UCI/MovieLens, semi-synthetic clinical, and ZOZOTOWN production-log data, SPSC outperforms non-stationary and low-rank baselines whenever $d-r\gtrsim T^{1/6}$, matching the analytical crossover. To our knowledge, this is the first work to characterize the identification boundary and attain the intrinsic-rank dynamic-regret rate in this setting.
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cs.LG 2026-05-18 2 theorems

CFEs lose validity under drift but local updates restore them cheaply

by Marcin Kostrzewa, Jerzy Stefanowski +1 more

Counterfactual Explanations Under Concept Drift

A sampling-based repair keeps explanations actionable in evolving models without full regeneration.

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Counterfactual explanations (CFEs) provide actionable recourse, but most methods assume a static framework with fixed data and a trained classifier. This assumption breaks in evolving data environments, such as data streams, where online models are repeatedly updated under concept drift. We identify CFE maintenance in this setting as a previously overlooked problem: explanations that are valid when generated may silently become invalid as the model evolves, including robust CFEs, which are not designed for continuous drift. We propose a lightweight, model-agnostic update scheme that repairs existing CFEs using local sampling to estimate validity and plausibility directions while preserving proximity to the original instance. Experiments on synthetic drifting streams show that initially created CFEs rapidly lose validity, whereas maintained CFEs preserve validity and local plausibility at a lower cost than repeated regeneration.
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cs.LG 2026-05-19 2 theorems

Graph measures let transformers approximate any function operator

by Takashi Furuya, David Mis +3 more

Function graph transformers universally approximate operators between function spaces

Lifting functions to measures supported on their graphs allows standard attention and MLP layers to learn nonlinear operators while staying

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We study the approximation of nonlinear operators between function spaces by transformers. Our approach is to lift functions to measures supported on their graphs and leverage a recently introduced measure-theoretic view of transformers. A function $h$ is represented by its graph measure $\gamma_h$, with finite tokens $\{(x_j,h(x_j))\}_{j=1}^N$ being its empirical approximations. We show that this framework elegantly models discretization refinement via convergence of measures and provides a natural setting for operator learning. Within this framework, we introduce function graph transformers, a graph-preserving subclass of measure-theoretic transformers that maps graph measures to graph measures, which is to say that outputs remain single-valued functions. Crucially, this additional structure does not reduce generality: we prove that the resulting graph-preserving maps can be approximated by finite compositions of standard softmax self-attention layers and pointwise MLPs, yielding universal approximation results for broad classes of nonlinear operators. Unlike existing theoretical approaches to operator learning with transformers, the measure-theoretic framework also accommodates regularized negative-order Sobolev inputs for which discretization invariance is particularly challenging, as well as query points on different output domains. Overall, function graph transformers provide a continuum viewpoint and mathematical toolkit for transformer-based operator learning, clarifying the roles of positional encodings, graph structure, regularization, and ensuring consistency across discretizations.
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cs.LG 2026-05-18 2 theorems

Surrogates from real LLM runs open black-box optimization to costly tasks

by Ruth Wan Theng Chew, Zhiliang Chen +2 more

BoLT: A Benchmark to Democratize Black-box Optimization Research for Expensive LLM Tasks

Benchmark supplies accessible models that capture multi-fidelity noisy LLM problems so researchers can compare methods without massive runs.

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Optimization of LLM training and inference configurations, such as hyperparameters, data mixtures, and prompts, is critical to performance, but it is often approached heuristically in practice, leading to potentially suboptimal outcomes. By framing them as noisy, expensive, and derivative-free optimization problems, Bayesian optimization (BO) and other black-box optimization (BBO) methods offer a promising yet underexplored direction for principled, sample-efficient methods. However, LLM training and inference costs are prohibitively high for most of the BBO research community, and new methods are often only evaluated on synthetic test functions and small-scale datasets that fail to capture the challenges of modern LLM optimization problems. This impedes the development of BBO methods and makes it difficult to assess their effectiveness on modern LLM tasks. We introduce BoLT, the first LLM-centric benchmark that democratizes LLM research for the BBO community. BoLT is released at https://github.com/chewwt/bolt. BoLT covers broad and well-motivated LLM optimization problems, involving multi-fidelity, multi-objective, heteroscedastic noise, and high-dimensional search spaces. Each problem in BoLT is grounded in real experimental data and made fully reproducible and accessible through lightweight surrogate models fitted to the results of thousands of real LLM experiments. We benchmark BoLT against an extensive range of BO and BBO methods, showing that selected BO methods consistently outperform others across tasks and highlighting gaps in existing BBO methods on LLM tasks, underscoring the need to modernize benchmarks for the BBO community.
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cs.LG 2026-05-20 1 theorem

Privacy budget sets floor on federated estimation error

by Yicheng Li

General Lower Bounds for Differentially Private Federated Learning with Arbitrary Public-Transcript Interactions

The bound holds for any number of adaptive rounds and any reuse of client samples under total clientwise zCDP.

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We prove a general lower bound for differentially private federated learning protocols with arbitrary public-transcript interactions. The protocol may use any number of adaptive rounds, and each client's local samples may be reused across rounds. For parameter estimation under squared \(\ell_2\) loss, we establish a federated van Trees lower bound for every estimator satisfying a total clientwise sample-level zero-concentrated differential privacy (zCDP) constraint. The main technical ingredient is a privacy-information contraction inequality for complete public transcripts. We illustrate the bound through applications to mean estimation, linear regression, and nonparametric regression.
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cs.LG 2026-05-19 2 theorems

Ringmaster LMO recovers optimal async time complexity for LMO

by Abdurakhmon Sadiev, Artavazd Maranjyan +2 more

Ringmaster LMO: Asynchronous Linear Minimization Oracle Momentum Method

Extending delay-thresholding to LMO momentum handles heterogeneous workers and matches best known bounds in smooth cases.

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Muon has recently emerged as a strong alternative to AdamW for training neural networks, with encouraging large-scale pretraining results and growing evidence that matrix-structured updates can be faster in practice. Yet Muon, and more generally Linear Minimization Oracle (LMO) based methods, are typically used synchronously. This is problematic in heterogeneous distributed systems, where workers complete gradient computations at different speeds and synchronous training must repeatedly wait for slower workers. In this work, we introduce Ringmaster LMO, an asynchronous LMO-based momentum method for unconstrained stochastic nonconvex optimization. Our method builds on the delay-thresholding idea of Ringmaster ASGD. For SGD-type methods, Ringmaster ASGD achieves optimal time complexity by discarding overly stale gradients. Ringmaster LMO extends this mechanism to general LMO-based updates. We establish convergence guarantees under generalized $(L_0, L_1)$-smoothness and further develop a parameter-agnostic variant with decreasing stepsizes and adaptive delay thresholds. Finally, we translate our iteration guarantees into time complexity bounds under heterogeneous worker computation times. In the classical Euclidean smooth setting, these bounds recover the optimal time complexity of Ringmaster ASGD. Experiments on stochastic quadratic problems and NanoChat language-model pretraining show that the advantages of Ringmaster LMO grow with system heterogeneity and that the method outperforms strong synchronous and asynchronous baselines.
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cs.LG 2026-05-15 2 theorems

Operator networks approximate nonlinear operators and their derivatives

by Filippo de Feo

Universal Approximation of Nonlinear Operators and Their Derivatives

Proves first UATs extending Hornik 1991 results to Banach spaces using Bastiani differentiability and weighted Sobolev norms.

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Derivative-Informed Operator Learning (DIOL), i.e. learning a (nonlinear) operator and its derivatives, is an open research frontier at the foundations of the influential field of Operator Learning (OL). In particular, Universal Approximation Theorems (UATs) of nonlinear operators and their derivatives are foundational open questions and delicate problems in nonlinear functional analysis. In this manuscript, we prove the first UATs of non-linear $k$-times differentiable operators between Banach spaces and their derivatives, uniformly on compact sets and in weighted Sobolev norms for general finite input measures, via OL architectures. Our results are the first complete generalizations of the corresponding influential classical results in [Hornik, 1991] to infinite-dimensional settings and OL. We discuss several open areas where DIOL and our UATs find applications: high-order accuracy in OL, fast constrained optimization in Banach spaces (e.g. optimal control of PDEs, inverse problems) and numerical methods for infinite-dimensional PDEs (e.g. HJB PDEs on Banach spaces from optimal control of PDEs, SPDEs, path-dependent systems, partially observed systems, mean-field control). We parameterize nonlinear operators via Encoder-Decoder Architectures, renowned classes in OL due to their generality, including classical architectures, such as DeepONets, Deep-H-ONets, PCA-Nets. Our results are based on four key features that allow us to prove UATs in full generality: (i) Approximation Properties of Banach spaces. (ii) $k$-times continuous differentiability in the sense of Bastiani (weaker than $k$-times continuous Fr\'echet differentiability). (iii) Natural compact-open topologies for UA; indeed, we show that UA in standard compact-open topologies induced by operator norms is violated even for Fr\'echet derivatives. (iv) Construction of novel weighted Sobolev spaces for the UA.
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cs.LG 2026-05-15 2 theorems

Exemplar partitioning matches top SAEs at 1000x lower cost

by Jessica Rumbelow

Exemplar Partitioning for Mechanistic Interpretability

By using observed activation exemplars to define Voronoi regions, the method achieves 0.881 AUROC on concept detection with far less build

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We introduce Exemplar Partitioning (EP), an unsupervised method for constructing interpretable feature dictionaries from large language model activations with $\sim 10^3\times$ fewer tokens than comparable sparse autoencoders (SAEs). An EP dictionary is a Voronoi partition of activation space, built by leader-clustering streamed activations within a distance threshold. Each region is anchored by an observed exemplar that serves as both its membership criterion and intervention direction; dictionary size is not prespecified, but determined by the activation geometry at that threshold. Because exemplars are observed rather than learned, dictionaries built from the same data stream are directly comparable across layers, models, and training checkpoints. We characterise EP as an interpretability object via targeted demonstrations of properties newly accessible through this construction, plus one head-to-head benchmark. In Gemma-2-2B, EP dictionary regions are interpretable and support causal interventions: refusal in instruction-tuned Gemma concentrates in a region whose exemplar ablation can collapse held-out refusal. Cross-checkpoint matching between base and instruction-tuned dictionaries separates the directions preserved through finetuning from those introduced by it. EP regions and Gemma Scope SAE features decompose activation space differently but agree on a shared core: $\sim$20% of EP regions match an SAE feature at $F_1 > 0.5$, and EP one-hot probes retain $\sim$97% of raw-activation probe accuracy at $\ell_0 = 1$. Nearest-exemplar distance provides a free out-of-distribution signal at inference. On AxBench latent concept detection at Gemma-2-2B-it L20, EP at $p_1$ reaches mean AUROC 0.881, +0.126 over the canonical GemmaScope SAE leaderboard entry and within 0.030 of SAE-A's 0.911, at $\sim 10^3\times$ less build compute.
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cs.LG 2026-05-15 Recognition

Exemplars partition LLM activations for causal edits

by Jessica Rumbelow

Exemplar Partitioning for Mechanistic Interpretability

Voronoi cells around observed points yield interpretable regions that control refusal in Gemma-2 and match SAE performance at 1000x lower

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We introduce Exemplar Partitioning (EP), an unsupervised method for constructing interpretable feature dictionaries from large language model activations with $\sim 10^3\times$ fewer tokens than comparable sparse autoencoders (SAEs). An EP dictionary is a Voronoi partition of activation space, built by leader-clustering streamed activations within a distance threshold. Each region is anchored by an observed exemplar that serves as both its membership criterion and intervention direction; dictionary size is not prespecified, but determined by the activation geometry at that threshold. Because exemplars are observed rather than learned, dictionaries built from the same data stream are directly comparable across layers, models, and training checkpoints. We characterise EP as an interpretability object via targeted demonstrations of properties newly accessible through this construction, plus one head-to-head benchmark. In Gemma-2-2B, EP dictionary regions are interpretable and support causal interventions: refusal in instruction-tuned Gemma concentrates in a region whose exemplar ablation can collapse held-out refusal. Cross-checkpoint matching between base and instruction-tuned dictionaries separates the directions preserved through finetuning from those introduced by it. EP regions and Gemma Scope SAE features decompose activation space differently but agree on a shared core: $\sim$20% of EP regions match an SAE feature at $F_1 > 0.5$, and EP one-hot probes retain $\sim$97% of raw-activation probe accuracy at $\ell_0 = 1$. Nearest-exemplar distance provides a free out-of-distribution signal at inference. On AxBench latent concept detection at Gemma-2-2B-it L20, EP at $p_1$ reaches mean AUROC 0.881, +0.126 over the canonical GemmaScope SAE leaderboard entry and within 0.030 of SAE-A's 0.911, at $\sim 10^3\times$ less build compute.
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cs.LG 2026-05-14 2 theorems

HodgeCover compresses MoE experts by covering harmonic cycles

by Tao Zhong, Dongzhe Zheng +1 more

HodgeCover: Higher-Order Topological Coverage Drives Compression of Sparse Mixture-of-Experts

Greedy selection of critical edges and triangles from the simplicial Laplacian of merge barriers leads on hybrid compression while balancing

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Sparse Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) layers route tokens through a handful of experts, and learning-free compression of these layers reduces inference cost without retraining. A subtle obstruction blocks every existing compressor in this family: three experts can each be pairwise compatible yet form an irreducible cycle when merged together, so any score that ranks experts on pairwise signals is structurally blind to which triples are jointly mergeable. We show the obstruction is a precise mathematical object, the harmonic kernel of the simplicial Laplacian on a 2-complex whose vertices are experts, whose edges carry KL merge barriers, and whose faces carry triplet barriers; Hodge-decomposing the edge-barrier signal isolates the kernel exactly. We turn the diagnostic into a selection objective: HodgeCover greedily covers the harmonic-critical edges and triplet-critical triangles, and a hybrid variant of HodgeCover pairs it with off-the-shelf weight pruning on survivors. On three open-weight Sparse MoE backbones under aggressive expert reduction, HodgeCover matches state-of-the-art learning-free baselines on the expert-reduction axis, leads on the aggressive-compression frontier of the hybrid axis, and uniquely balances retained mass across all four Hodge components. These results show that exposing the harmonic kernel of a learned MoE structure changes which compressor wins at the regime that matters most.
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cs.LG 2026-05-14 2 theorems

Contrastive losses map directly to distance geometry problems

by Raphael Vock, Edouard Duchesnay +1 more

A Unified Geometric Framework for Weighted Contrastive Learning

The weighting scheme sets target distances that decide whether embeddings form simplices, collapse, or become geometrically impossible.

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Contrastive learning (CL) aims to preserve relational structure between samples by learning representations that reflect a similarity graph. Yet, the geometry of the resulting embeddings remains poorly understood. Here we show that weighted InfoNCE objectives can be interpreted as Distance Geometry Problems, where the weighting scheme specifies the target geometry to be realized by the representation. This viewpoint yields exact characterizations of the optimal embeddings for several supervised and weakly supervised objectives. In supervised classification, both SupCon and Soft SupCon (a dense relaxation of it where pairs from distinct classes have small non-zero similarity) collapse samples within each class to a single prototype. However, while balanced SupCon recovers the classical regular simplex geometry, class imbalance breaks this symmetry: SupCon induces non-uniform inter-class similarities depending on class sizes, whereas Soft SupCon preserves a regular simplex geometry regardless of class imbalance. In continuous-label settings, our framework reveals a different failure mode: y-Aware CL generally cannot attain its entropic optimum unless the labels lie on a hypersphere, exposing a mismatch between Euclidean label weights and spherical latent similarity. By contrast, geometrically consistent choices such as Euclidean-Euclidean weighting or X-CLR admit unique optimal embeddings. Our results show that the choice of weighting scheme determines whether contrastive learning is geometrically realizable, degenerate, or inconsistent, providing a principled framework for designing contrastive objectives.
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cs.LG 2026-05-14 2 theorems

Uniform convergence at scale γ equals learnability at γ/2

by Shashaank Aiyer, Yishay Mansour +3 more

Scale-Sensitive Shattering: Learnability and Evaluability at Optimal Scale

Exact equivalence for bounded real-valued classes closes scale gaps in PAC learning and gives sharp IPM evaluability thresholds

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We study the optimal scale at which real-valued function classes exhibit uniform convergence and learnability. Our main result establishes a scale-sensitive generalization of the fundamental theorem of PAC learning: for every bounded real-valued class and every $\gamma>0$, uniform convergence at scale $\gamma$, agnostic learnability at scale $\gamma/2$, and finiteness of the fat-shattering dimension at every scale $\gamma'>\gamma$ are equivalent. This resolves a question by Anthony and Bartlett (Cambridge Univ. Press 1999) on the precise scales governing learnability, refuting a conjecture attributed there to Phil Long that a multiplicative 2-factor gap is unavoidable, and improves the upper bounds of Bartlett and Long (JCSS 1998), which incur such a loss. The key technical ingredient is a direct bound on empirical $\ell_\infty$ covering numbers, avoiding the standard detour through packing numbers. As a consequence, we obtain sharp asymptotic metric-entropy bounds in terms of the fat-shattering scale $\gamma$: an $O(\log^2 n)$ bound holds already at scale $\gamma/2$, while an $O(\log n)$ bound holds at scale $2\gamma$. We further show that the $O(\log^2 n)$ bound is sometimes tight. These results resolve open questions by Alon et al. (JACM 1997) and Rudelson and Vershynin (Ann. of Math. 2006). As an application, we establish a sharp dichotomy for bounded integral probability metrics: every such IPM is either estimable or cannot be weakly evaluated within any multiplicative factor $c<3$, while $3$-weak evaluability always holds, resolving an open question from Aiyer et al. (ICML 2026). We also highlight several open questions on quantitative sample complexity and evaluability.
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cs.LG 2026-05-14 2 theorems

Flow matching conditioning is kernel smoothing

by Daniel Matsui Smola

Support-Conditioned Flow Matching Is Kernel Smoothing

Under Gaussian transport the velocity field equals a Nadaraya-Watson smoother whose bandwidth shrinks from global to nearest-neighbor.

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Generative models are often conditioned on a small set of examples via cross-attention. Under the Gaussian optimal-transport path, we show that the exact velocity field induced by a finite support set is a Nadaraya--Watson kernel smoother whose bandwidth decreases with flow time, from broad averaging at early steps to nearest-neighbor at late steps. A single Gaussian-kernel attention head exactly computes this field, connecting cross-attention conditioning to classical kernel theory. The theory predicts three failure regimes: nearest-neighbor collapse of the kernel at high dimension, mismatch between the isotropic kernel and the data geometry, and insufficient support for nonparametric estimation. Experiments on Gaussian mixtures, spherical shells, and DINOv2 ImageNet features confirm that learned conditioning improves in precisely these regimes, and that IP-Adapter's cross-attention implements approximate NW smoothing in practice.
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cs.LG 2026-05-14 2 theorems

Learned reverse Jacobian matches Gauss-Newton at 77x lower cost

by Aaditya L. Kachhadiya

Local Inverse Geometry Can Be Amortized

D-IPG amortizes local inverse geometry for nonlinear PDE problems and keeps high success while slashing solve time.

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Nonlinear inverse problems often trade inexpensive but fragile first-order updates against curvature-aware methods such as Gauss-Newton and Levenberg-Marquardt, which obtain stronger directions by repeatedly solving Jacobian-based linearized systems. We propose a learned alternative: amortize local inverse geometry into a reusable reverse operator. Our framework learns a bidirectional surrogate, Deceptron, and deploys it through D-IPG (Deceptron Inverse-Preconditioned Gradient), an iterative solver that pulls residual-corrected measurement-space proposals back to latent space. The key mechanism is a Jacobian Composition Penalty (JCP), which trains the reverse Jacobian to act as a local left inverse of the forward Jacobian; its runtime counterpart, RJCP, measures the same inverse-consistency error along optimization trajectories. We prove that D-IPG is first-order equivalent to damped Gauss-Newton under local pseudoinverse consistency, with deviation controlled by composition error and conditioning. Across seven PDE inverse-problem benchmarks, D-IPG outperforms standard baselines, achieves 94.8% mean success across the six-problem reliability suite, and reaches comparable or better recovery quality at up to 77x lower inference-time solve cost on the main benchmarks.
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1
cs.LG 2026-05-14 2 theorems

Learned map turns uniform paths into provably ergodic coverage

by Ehsan Aghazadeh, Masoud Malekzadeh +2 more

Ergodic Trajectory Design by Learned Pushforward Maps: Provable Coverage via Conditional Flow Matching

One offline-trained conditional flow matching map reuses an analytic latent trajectory across unlimited agents and targets while bounding,

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Designing continuous trajectories whose time-averaged occupancy provably matches a prescribed spatial density (the \emph{ergodic coverage} problem) is central to UAV-assisted data collection and sensing, robotic exploration, and mobile monitoring. For flying agents in particular, this challenge is acute: trajectories must balance coverage fidelity against tight energy budgets, no-fly zones, and acceleration limits. Existing methods either re-optimize each trajectory online (with cost growing in the horizon and re-running for every target, agent, and realization) or rely on bespoke analytical constructions that must be re-derived for each new constraint. We propose a \emph{epushforward} framework that decouples ergodicity from density matching: an analytic latent trajectory provides exact uniform ergodicity on a simple annular domain, and a single map, learned offline by optimal-transport conditional flow matching, transports this latent occupancy onto the prescribed target density. The composed trajectory is then asymptotically ergodic with respect to the learned pushforward distribution, with deviation from the target controlled by the flow-matching training loss. Once trained for a given target density and constraint set, the map serves an unbounded number of trajectories and a multi-agent fleet without per-agent retraining, and many differentiable operational constraints (no-fly zones, acceleration ceilings, or fairness penalties) enter as additive soft penalties in the training loss without re-deriving the design. We prove three results (an acceleration-energy bound, an $O(1/\sqrt{K})$ ergodic convergence rate in the number of trajectory cycles $K$, and an approximation-error bound) that combine into an end-to-end coverage bound estimable from CFM training diagnostics (certified given an architectural Lipschitz bound on $v_\theta$).
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1
cs.LG 2026-05-14 2 theorems

LLMs miss when medical guidelines expire

by Zihan Guan, Qiao Jin +7 more

Large Language Models Lack Temporal Awareness of Medical Knowledge

Accuracy on current advice fades gradually over years while recall of past versions lags far behind, and search tools do not fully correct.

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The existing methods for evaluating the medical knowledge of Large Language Models (LLMs) are largely based on atemporal examination-style benchmarks, while in reality, medical knowledge is inherently dynamic and continuously evolves as new evidence emerges and treatments are approved. Consequently, evaluating medical knowledge without a temporal context may provide an incomplete assessment of whether LLMs can accurately reason about time-specific medical knowledge. Moreover, most medical data are historical, requiring the models not only to recall the correct knowledge, but also to know when that knowledge is correct. To bridge the gap, we built TempoMed-Bench, the first-of-its-kind benchmark for evaluating the temporal awareness of the LLMs in the medical domain through evolving guideline knowledge. Based on the TempoMed-Bench, our evaluation analysis first reveals that LLMs lack temporal awareness in medical knowledge through the key findings: (1) model performance on up-to-date medical knowledge exhibits a gradual linear decline over time rather than a sharp knowledge-cutoff behavior, suggesting that parametric medical knowledge is not strictly bounded by knowledge cutoffs; (2) LLMs consistently struggle more with recalling outdated historical medical knowledge than with up-to-date recommendations: accuracy of historical knowledge is only 25.37%-53.89% of up-to-date knowledge, indicating potential knowledge forgetting effects during training; and (3) LLMs often exhibit temporally inconsistent behaviors, where predictions fluctuate irregularly across neighboring years. We also show that the temporal awareness problem is a challenge that cannot be easily solved when integrated with agentic search tools (-3.15%-14.14%). This work highlights an important yet underexplored challenge and motivates future research on developing LLMs that can better encode time-specific medical knowledge.
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1
cs.LG 2026-05-14 2 theorems

Hybrid randomized smoothing yields a closed-form one-dimensional certificate that…

by Blaise Delattre, Hengyu Wu +3 more

Certified Robustness under Heterogeneous Perturbations via Hybrid Randomized Smoothing

A single closed-form radius now covers simultaneous attacks on discrete tokens and continuous pixels in multimodal models.

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Randomized smoothing provides strong, model-agnostic robustness certificates, but existing guarantees are limited to single modalities, treating continuous and discrete inputs in isolation. This limitation becomes critical in multimodal models, where decisions depend on cross-modal semantics and adversaries can jointly perturb heterogeneous inputs, rendering unimodal certificates insufficient. We introduce a unified randomized smoothing framework for mixed discrete--continuous inputs based on an analytically tractable Neyman--Pearson formulation of the joint worst-case problem. By analyzing the joint likelihood ordering induced by factorized discrete and continuous noise, our approach yields a closed-form, one-dimensional certificate that strictly generalizes both Gaussian (image-only) and discrete (text-only) randomized smoothing. We validate the framework on multimodal safety filtering, providing, to our knowledge, the first model-agnostic Neyman--Pearson certificate for joint discrete-token and continuous-image perturbations in interaction-dependent text--image safety filtering.
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cs.LG 2026-05-14 2 theorems

One explanation often labels many SAE features

by Jordan F. McCann

Descriptive Collision in Sparse Autoencoder Auto-Interpretability: When One Explanation Describes Many Features

Reanalysis of 722 annotated features shows the average string reused 3.07 times and resolves only 70 percent of feature identity.

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Sparse autoencoders (SAEs) are now standard tools for decomposing language model activations into interpretable features, and automated interpretability pipelines routinely assign each feature a short natural-language explanation. Existing critiques of this practice focus on polysemanticity -- one feature with many meanings -- or on whether explanations predict activations. We identify a complementary, structurally distinct problem we call descriptive collision: many distinct SAE features admit the same explanation. Reanalyzing the largest publicly-available dataset of human-annotated SAE features (Marks et al., 2025), comprising 722 annotated features across Gemma 2 2B and Pythia 70M, we find that the mean annotation string is reused across 3.07 features; 82.1% of features share their annotation with at least one other feature; and the single most common annotation string ("plural nouns") labels 101 distinct features spanning 18 layers and four model components. Information-theoretically, the average annotation resolves only 70% of feature identity. We formalize a property called discrimination, prove that current detection-style auto-interpretability scoring is invariant to collision, and propose two complementary corrective metrics -- collision-adjusted detection and discrimination scoring -- that explicitly penalize explanations that fail to distinguish a feature from its neighbors. The collision problem is independent of, and additive with, previously identified failure modes of auto-interpretability; ignoring it inflates reported feature interpretability by a quantity equal to roughly one-third of the bits required to identify a feature.
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cs.LG 2026-05-13 2 theorems

Atoms swap directly into recurrent model cache writes

by Jack Young

WriteSAE: Sparse Autoencoders for Recurrent State

WriteSAE reshapes features to match rank-1 updates and achieves high substitution success while enabling targeted lifts in generation.

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We introduce WriteSAE, a sparse autoencoder for the matrix updates written into recurrent language-model state. In Gated DeltaNet, Mamba-2, and RWKV-7, each token writes a matrix-shaped update to a recurrent cache; a residual-stream SAE has vector-shaped atoms and cannot replace that update directly. WriteSAE learns rank-1 matrix atoms with the same shape as the model's own write. This lets us test a direct replacement: at positions where the SAE activates an atom, we remove the model's write, insert the atom scaled by its SAE activation, and continue the forward pass. The atom gives a closer final token distribution than deleting the write on 92.4% of evaluated positions; averaged per atom, the rate is 89.8%. For Gated DeltaNet, a formula using the forget gate, read query, and output embedding predicts the resulting logit change with $R^2 = 0.98$. The same replacement test transfers to Mamba-2-370M at 88.1%. In generation, the formula chooses a write direction; writing it into three consecutive cache positions at $3\times$ the norm of the model's write makes tokens initially ranked 100--1000 by the unmodified model appear in 100% of continuations, up from 33.3%. To our knowledge this is the first cache-level steering intervention reported in a state-space or hybrid recurrent layer.
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cs.LG 2026-05-13 2 theorems

Rank-1 atoms replace recurrent cache writes

by Jack Young

WriteSAE: Sparse Autoencoders for Recurrent State

They yield closer token distributions than deletion and enable steering by injecting chosen directions into the cache.

Figure from the paper full image
abstract click to expand
We introduce WriteSAE, a sparse autoencoder for the matrix updates written into recurrent language-model state. In Gated DeltaNet, Mamba-2, and RWKV-7, each token writes a matrix-shaped update to a recurrent cache; a residual-stream SAE has vector-shaped atoms and cannot replace that update directly. WriteSAE learns rank-1 matrix atoms with the same shape as the model's own write. This lets us test a direct replacement: at positions where the SAE activates an atom, we remove the model's write, insert the atom scaled by its SAE activation, and continue the forward pass. The atom gives a closer final token distribution than deleting the write on 92.4% of evaluated positions; averaged per atom, the rate is 89.8%. For Gated DeltaNet, a formula using the forget gate, read query, and output embedding predicts the resulting logit change with $R^2 = 0.98$. The same replacement test transfers to Mamba-2-370M at 88.1%. In generation, the formula chooses a write direction; writing it into three consecutive cache positions at $3\times$ the norm of the model's write makes tokens initially ranked 100--1000 by the unmodified model appear in 100% of continuations, up from 33.3%. To our knowledge this is the first cache-level steering intervention reported in a state-space or hybrid recurrent layer.
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1
cs.LG 2026-05-13 2 theorems

Sparse autoencoders now edit recurrent model cache writes

by Jack Young

WriteSAE: Sparse Autoencoders for Recurrent State

Atoms match rank-1 k v writes, substitute successfully in 92 percent of cases, and deliver closed-form logit predictions plus sustained 3x-l

Figure from the paper full image
abstract click to expand
We introduce WriteSAE, a sparse autoencoder for the matrix updates written into recurrent language-model state. In Gated DeltaNet, Mamba-2, and RWKV-7, each token writes a matrix-shaped update to a recurrent cache; a residual-stream SAE has vector-shaped atoms and cannot replace that update directly. WriteSAE learns rank-1 matrix atoms with the same shape as the model's own write. This lets us test a direct replacement: at positions where the SAE activates an atom, we remove the model's write, insert the atom scaled by its SAE activation, and continue the forward pass. The atom gives a closer final token distribution than deleting the write on 92.4% of evaluated positions; averaged per atom, the rate is 89.8%. For Gated DeltaNet, a formula using the forget gate, read query, and output embedding predicts the resulting logit change with $R^2 = 0.98$. The same replacement test transfers to Mamba-2-370M at 88.1%. In generation, the formula chooses a write direction; writing it into three consecutive cache positions at $3\times$ the norm of the model's write makes tokens initially ranked 100--1000 by the unmodified model appear in 100% of continuations, up from 33.3%. To our knowledge this is the first cache-level steering intervention reported in a state-space or hybrid recurrent layer.
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1
cs.LG 2026-05-13 Recognition

Sparse atoms swap directly into recurrent model caches

by Jack Young

WriteSAE: Sparse Autoencoders for Recurrent State

WriteSAE matches the rank-1 write shape and installs target continuations at 3x lift in Mamba and RWKV models.

Figure from the paper full image
abstract click to expand
We introduce WriteSAE, a sparse autoencoder for the matrix updates written into recurrent language-model state. In Gated DeltaNet, Mamba-2, and RWKV-7, each token writes a matrix-shaped update to a recurrent cache; a residual-stream SAE has vector-shaped atoms and cannot replace that update directly. WriteSAE learns rank-1 matrix atoms with the same shape as the model's own write. This lets us test a direct replacement: at positions where the SAE activates an atom, we remove the model's write, insert the atom scaled by its SAE activation, and continue the forward pass. The atom gives a closer final token distribution than deleting the write on 92.4% of evaluated positions; averaged per atom, the rate is 89.8%. For Gated DeltaNet, a formula using the forget gate, read query, and output embedding predicts the resulting logit change with $R^2 = 0.98$. The same replacement test transfers to Mamba-2-370M at 88.1%. In generation, the formula chooses a write direction; writing it into three consecutive cache positions at $3\times$ the norm of the model's write makes tokens initially ranked 100--1000 by the unmodified model appear in 100% of continuations, up from 33.3%. To our knowledge this is the first cache-level steering intervention reported in a state-space or hybrid recurrent layer.
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1
cs.LG 2026-05-13 2 theorems

Inference rotation unlearns data without touching weights

by Vinícius Conte Turani, Otávio Parraga +8 more

Inference-Time Machine Unlearning via Gated Activation Redirection

GUARD-IT matches gradient methods on unlearning benchmarks while preserving utility and working on quantized LLMs.

abstract click to expand
Large Language Models memorize vast amounts of training data, raising concerns regarding privacy, copyright infringement, and safety. Machine unlearning seeks to remove the influence of a targeted forget set while preserving model performance, ideally approximating a model retrained from scratch without the forget set. Existing approaches aim to achieve this by updating model parameters via gradient-based methods. However, these updates are computationally expensive, lead to irreversible weight changes, and degrade when the model is quantized for deployment. A recent alternative to changing model weights is activation engineering, where activations are changed during inference to steer model behavior. Despite circumventing weight editing, naive activation steering introduces its own failure modes, as a single global steering vector applies the same intervention to every input, leading to unintended changes in model behavior. We introduce Inference-Time Unlearning via Gated Activation Redirection (GUARD-IT), a training- and gradient-free method that unlearns via input-dependent activation steering at inference time. The resulting intervention is applied as a norm-preserving rotation in the residual stream, leaving model weights untouched. Experiments on TOFU and MUSE show that GUARD-IT matches or exceeds 12 gradient-based baselines across three model scales, while being the only method to simultaneously preserve utility, suppress memorization, and avoid catastrophic collapse across all settings. GUARD-IT further supports continual unlearning without retraining, and remains effective under quantization, a scenario in which parameter-editing methods degrade.
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cs.LG 2026-05-13 2 theorems

GUARD-IT unlearns LLMs without weight updates or retraining

by Vinícius Conte Turani, Otávio Parraga +8 more

Inference-Time Machine Unlearning via Gated Activation Redirection

Input-dependent rotations in activations match gradient baselines while preserving utility and working on quantized models.

abstract click to expand
Large Language Models memorize vast amounts of training data, raising concerns regarding privacy, copyright infringement, and safety. Machine unlearning seeks to remove the influence of a targeted forget set while preserving model performance, ideally approximating a model retrained from scratch without the forget set. Existing approaches aim to achieve this by updating model parameters via gradient-based methods. However, these updates are computationally expensive, lead to irreversible weight changes, and degrade when the model is quantized for deployment. A recent alternative to changing model weights is activation engineering, where activations are changed during inference to steer model behavior. Despite circumventing weight editing, naive activation steering introduces its own failure modes, as a single global steering vector applies the same intervention to every input, leading to unintended changes in model behavior. We introduce Inference-Time Unlearning via Gated Activation Redirection (GUARD-IT), a training- and gradient-free method that unlearns via input-dependent activation steering at inference time. The resulting intervention is applied as a norm-preserving rotation in the residual stream, leaving model weights untouched. Experiments on TOFU and MUSE show that GUARD-IT matches or exceeds 12 gradient-based baselines across three model scales, while being the only method to simultaneously preserve utility, suppress memorization, and avoid catastrophic collapse across all settings. GUARD-IT further supports continual unlearning without retraining, and remains effective under quantization, a scenario in which parameter-editing methods degrade.
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1
cs.LG 2026-05-13 2 theorems

Multiple grids per group boost 4-bit LLM accuracy

by Vage Egiazarian, Erik Schultheis +4 more

Grid Games: The Power of Multiple Grids for Quantizing Large Language Models

Choosing the best 4-bit grid from a small set for each weight group cuts quantization error compared with fixed grids in both training and 4

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A major recent advance in quantization is given by microscaled 4-bit formats such as NVFP4 and MXFP4, quantizing values into small groups sharing a scale, assuming a fixed floating-point grid. In this paper, we study the following natural extension: assume that, for each group of values, we are free to select the "better" among two or more 4-bit grids marked by one or more bits in the scale value. We formalize the power-of-two-grids (PO2) problem, and provide theoretical results showing that practical small-group formats such as MXFP or NVFP can benefit significantly from PO2 grids, while the advantage vanishes for very large groups. On the practical side, we instantiate several grid families, including 1) PO2(NF4), which pairs the standard NF4 normal grid with a learned grid, 2) MPO2, a grid pair that is fully learned over real weights and activations, 3) PO2(Split87), an explicit-zero asymmetric grid and 4) SFP4, a TensorCore-implementable triple which pairs NVFP4 with two shifted variants. Results for post-training quantization of standard open models and pre-training of Llama-like models show that adaptive grids consistently improve accuracy vs single-grid FP4 under both weight-only and weight+activation. Source code is available at https://github.com/IST-DASLab/GridGames.
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cs.LG 2026-05-06

Hybrid graph-SVR model boosts urban air pollution forecasts

by Nourin Jahan, Madhurima Panja +2 more

Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression for Robust Spatiotemporal Forecasting of Urban Air Pollution

The method outperforms benchmarks in Delhi and Mumbai while staying stable during spikes and seasons and adding uncertainty estimates.

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Urban air quality forecasting is challenging because pollutant concentrations are nonlinear, nonstationary, spatiotemporally dependent, and often affected by anomalous observations caused by traffic congestion, industrial emissions, and seasonal meteorological variability. This study proposes a Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression (GCSVR) framework for robust spatiotemporal forecasting of urban air pollution. The model combines graph convolutional learning to capture inter-station spatial dependence with support vector regression to model nonlinear temporal dynamics while reducing sensitivity to outlier observations. The proposed framework is evaluated using air quality records from 37 monitoring stations in Delhi and 18 stations in Mumbai, representing inland and coastal metropolitan environments in India. Forecasting performance is assessed across multiple horizons and compared with established temporal and spatiotemporal benchmarks. The results show that GCSVR consistently improves predictive accuracy and maintains stable performance across seasons and outlier-prone pollution episodes. Statistical test further confirms the reliability of the proposed approach across the two cities. Finally, conformal prediction is integrated with GCSVR to generate calibrated prediction intervals, enhancing its practical value for uncertainty-aware air quality monitoring and public health decision-making.
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