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arxiv: 1903.02603 · v3 · pith:AHEOUPEXnew · submitted 2019-03-06 · 🧮 math.ST · stat.TH

Nonparametric Change Point Detection in Regression

classification 🧮 math.ST stat.TH
keywords theoreticalchange-pointdatadetectionfullyinvestigatedmethodregression
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This paper considers the prominent problem of change-point detection in regression. The study suggests a novel testing procedure featuring a fully data-driven calibration scheme. The method is essentially a black box, requiring no tuning from the practitioner. The approach is investigated from both theoretical and practical points of view. The theoretical study demonstrates proper control of first-type error rate under $H_0$ and power approaching $1$ under $H_1$. The experiments conducted on synthetic data fully support the theoretical claims. In conclusion, the method is applied to financial data, where it detects sensible change-points. Techniques for change-point localization are also suggested and investigated.

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