MUonE, muon $g-2$ and electroweak precision constraints within 2HDMs

Two Higgs doublet models are attractive scenarios for physics beyond the Standard Model. In particular, lepton-specific manifestations remain contenders to explain the observed discrepancy between the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon $a_\mu$ predicted within the Standard Model and recent observations at Fermilab and BNL. Dominant uncertainties that affect $a_\mu$ have motivated the MUonE experiment to access the hadronic vacuum polarisation contribution that impacts $a_\mu$ via elastic muon-electron scattering. In this work, we contrast the high precision that is achievable within the MUonE context with constraints from flavour physics, precision electroweak constraints and LHC searches as well as their extrapolations for a range of two Higgs doublet models with a softly broken $\mathbb{Z}_2$ symmetry. We find that the sensitivity of MUonE does not extend beyond the parameter regions that are already excluded by other constraints. MUonE will therefore provide a detailed measurement of the hadronic vacuum polarisation contribution which then transparently informs $a_\mu$ interpretations in 2HDMs without modifications of correlations from beyond the Standard Model interactions. In passing we extend earlier results of LHC and flavour projections to lepton-specific 2HDM (Types X and Y) scenarios, and comment on the possibility of modifying the value of the W-boson mass; we briefly discuss the implications for a strong first-order electroweak phase transition for these models.