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Testing mean and variance by e-processes

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arxiv 2301.12480 v7 pith:7PXTEGKV submitted 2023-01-29 math.ST math.PRstat.TH

classification math.STmath.PRstat.TH
keywords meane-processesp-valuestestingtestsvarianceconditionalconditions
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We address the problem of testing conditional mean and conditional variance for non-stationary data. We build e-values and p-values for four types of non-parametric composite hypotheses with specified mean and variance as well as other conditions on the shape of the data-generating distribution. These shape conditions include symmetry, unimodality, and their combination. Using the obtained e-values and p-values, we construct tests via e-processes, also known as testing by betting, as well as some tests based on combining p-values for comparison. Although we mainly focus on one-sided tests, the two-sided test for the mean is also studied. Simulation and empirical studies are conducted under a few settings, and they illustrate features of the methods based on e-processes.

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