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Statistical trends in JWST transiting exoplanet atmospheres

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arxiv 2501.02081 v1 pith:CQJU5TEE submitted 2025-01-03 astro-ph.EP

classification astro-ph.EP
keywords exoplanetjwstplanetatmospheresbandscorrelationsdiagrameight
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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abstract

Our brains are hardwired for pattern recognition as correlations are useful for predicting and understanding nature. As more exoplanet atmospheres are being characterized with JWST, we are starting to unveil their properties on a population level. Here we present a framework for comparing exoplanet transmission spectroscopy from 3 to 5$\mu$m with four bands: L (2.9 - 3.7$\mu$m), SO$_2$ (3.95 - 4.1$\mu$m), CO$_2$ (4.25 - 4.4$\mu$m) and CO (4.5 - 4.9$\mu$m). Together, the four bands cover the major carbon, oxygen, nitrogen, and sulfur-bearing molecules including H$_2$O, CH$_4$, NH$_3$, H$_2$S, SO$_2$, CO$_2$, and CO. Among the eight high-precision gas giant exoplanet planet spectra we collected, we found strong correlations between the SO$_2$-L index and planet mass (r=-0.41$\pm$0.09) and temperature (r=-0.64$\pm$0.08), indicating SO$_2$ preferably exists (SO$_2$-L$>$-0.5) among low mass ($\sim<$0.3M$_J$) and cooler ($\sim<$1200K) targets. We also observe strong temperature dependency for both CO$_2$-L and CO-L indices. Under equilibrium chemistry and isothermal thermal structure assumptions, we find that the planet sample favors super-solar metallicity and low C/O ratio ($<$0.7). In addition, the presence of a mass-metallicity correlation is favored over uniform metallicity with the eight planets. We further introduce the SO$_2$-L versus CO$_2$-L diagram alike the color-magnitude diagram for stars and brown dwarfs. All reported trends here will be testable and be further quantified with existing and future JWST observations within the next few years.

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Forward citations

Cited by 4 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. SCoRE: the Surface Composition of Rocky Exoplanets

    astro-ph.EP 2026-07 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    In over 150,000 equilibrium crust-atmosphere models, the thermal stability of 23 minerals is tied to atmospheric type, independent of the six tested refractory-element abundance sets.

  2. Highlights from Exoplanet Observations by the James Webb Space Telescope

    astro-ph.EP 2025-05 unverdicted novelty 3.0 of 10

    A review chapter of JWST exoplanet highlights with a compiled target database and reproducible figures.

  3. On Linking Planet Formation Models, Protoplanetary Disk Properties, and Mature Gas Giant Exoplanet Atmospheres

    astro-ph.EP 2025-05 accept novelty 2.0 of 10

    A workshop synthesis concludes that linking gas giant exoplanet atmospheres to formation histories requires multiple elemental abundance tracers, not a single C/O ratio, and identifies the most pressing open questions.

  4. Exploration of Exoplanet Atmospheres with the James Webb Space Telescope

    astro-ph.EP 2026-08 unverdicted novelty 1.0 of 10

    A review of JWST's first cycles of exoplanet atmosphere observations, spanning direct imaging, transit spectroscopy, and the prospect of a ~10,000-hour population survey.

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